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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 21 →
Wins
1
Losses
3
Push
2
Win %
25%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-21 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
354
Total Found
279
Shown
279
Actionable
73
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
151 Willson Contreras 3/3 BAL @ BOS 1B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 3.61
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +150 60.0 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 40.0% 26.7% N/A
BAL @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
152 Jordan Walker 3/3 STL @ LAA RF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.88
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +147 59.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 40.5% 26.2% 0
STL @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
153 Andres Chaparro 3/3 WSH @ COL
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 6.22
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +145 59.2 3, 0, 8
2/3
66.7%
 40.8% 25.9% 0
WSH @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
154 Manny Machado 3/3 SD @ ATL 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 69%
ERA 3.50
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +144 59.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 41.0% 25.7% 2
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
155 Harry Ford
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 WSH @ COL
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 6.22
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +135 57.4 0, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
 42.6% 24.1% N/A
WSH @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
156 William Contreras 3/3 NYM @ MIL C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 2.60
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +135 57.4 0, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
 42.6% 24.1% 0
NYM @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
157 Jake McCarthy 3/3 WSH @ COL LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.53
 Hits 1.5 +117 53.9 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 46.1% 20.6% 2
WSH @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
W
158 Hunter Feduccia
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 TB @ TOR
LHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.33
 Hits 0.5 +106 51.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 48.5% 18.1% N/A
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
159 James Outman 3/3 DET @ CHC
LHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 6.45
 Hits 0.5 +105 51.2 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 48.8% 17.9% 0
DET @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
160 Tyrone Taylor
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 NYM @ MIL
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.16
 Hits 0.5 +103 50.7 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 49.3% 17.4% N/A
NYM @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
161 CJ Abrams 3/3 WSH @ COL
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 6.22
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +100 50.0 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 50.0% 16.7% 4
WSH @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
W
162 Jahmai Jones
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 BAL @ BOS DH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 3.61
 Hits 0.5 +100 50.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 50.0% 16.7% N/A
BAL @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
163 Colt Emerson 3/3 CIN @ SEA
LHB vs RHP
Average 65%
ERA 2.54
 Hits 0.5 -105 48.8 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 51.2% 15.4% 0
CIN @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
164 Taylor Walls 3/3 TB @ TOR SS
S vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.33
 Hits 0.5 -105 48.8 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 51.2% 15.4% 0
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
165 Henry Davis 3/3 PIT @ NYY C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.03
 Hits 0.5 -107 48.3 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 51.7% 15.0% N/A
PIT @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Postponed
166 Tyler Heineman
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 STL @ LAA C
S vs LHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 5.00
 Hits 0.5 -108 48.1 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 51.9% 14.7% N/A
STL @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
167 Jimmy Crooks
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 STL @ LAA
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.88
 Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 53.5% 13.2% N/A
STL @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
168 Luke Raley 3/3 CIN @ SEA
LHB vs RHP
Average 65%
ERA 2.54
 Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 53.5% 13.2% 0
CIN @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
169 Tommy Troy
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 OAK @ ARI
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.87
 Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 53.5% 13.2% N/A
ATH @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
170 Austin Hedges
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 MIN @ CLE C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 2.79
 Hits 0.5 -118 45.9 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 54.1% 12.5% 0
MIN @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
171 Evan Carter 3/3 CWS @ TEX CF TBD Hits 0.5 -118 45.9 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 54.1% 12.5% 0
CHW @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
172 Dylan Beavers 3/3 BAL @ BOS
LHB vs LHP
Average 43%
ERA 3.15
 Hits 0.5 -119 45.7 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
 54.3% 12.3% N/A
BAL @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
173 Esteury Ruiz 3/3 MIA @ HOU CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.06
 Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 54.5% 12.1% 0
MIA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
174 Patrick Bailey
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIN @ CLE C
S vs LHP
ERA 2.79
 Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 4, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 54.5% 12.1% N/A
MIN @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
175 Brett Baty
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 NYM @ MIL 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.16
 Hits 0.5 -123 44.8 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 55.2% 11.5% N/A
NYM @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
Showing 151–175 of 279 plays
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