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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 22 →
Wins
1
Losses
5
Win %
16.7%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-22 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
414
Total Found
285
Shown
285
Actionable
51
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
26 Andruw Monasterio ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 BAL @ BOS PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.15
 Hits 0.5 -160 88.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 61.5% 38.5% 2
BAL @ BOS
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
27 Andruw Monasterio ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 BAL @ BOS PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.15
 Hits 0.5 -160 88.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 61.5% 38.5% 2
BAL @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
28 Jeremy Pena 3/3 MIA @ HOU SS
RHB vs RHP
Good 75%
ERA 3.89
 Home Runs 0.5 +750 88.2 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 11.8% 54.9% 1
MIA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
29 Victor Mesa Jr. ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ TOR
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.65
 Hits 0.5 -164 87.9 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 62.1% 37.9% 2
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
W
30 Luis Torrens ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 NYM @ MIL C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.97
 Hits 0.5 -165 87.7 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 62.3% 37.7% 0
NYM @ MIL
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
31 Michael Busch ELITE 3/3 DET @ CHC 1B
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.22
 Hits 0.5 -165 87.7 1, 1, 3
3/3
100.0%
 62.3% 37.7% 1
DET @ CHC
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
32 Pedro Ramirez ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 DET @ CHC 3B
S vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.22
 Hits 0.5 -165 87.7 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 62.3% 37.7% N/A
DET @ CHC
8:00 PM ET
Final
33 Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE 3/3 PIT @ NYY
RHB vs LHP
Good 80%
ERA 3.21
 Hits 0.5 -175 86.4 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 63.6% 36.4% 0
PIT @ NYY
1:05 PM ET
Final/10
L
34 Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE 3/3 PIT @ NYY
RHB vs LHP
Good 80%
ERA 3.21
 Hits 0.5 -175 86.4 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 63.6% 36.4% 0
PIT @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
35 Heriberto Hernandez ELITE 3/3 MIA @ HOU LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.03
 Hits 0.5 -177 86.1 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 63.9% 36.1% 2
MIA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
36 Daulton Varsho ELITE 3/3 TB @ TOR
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.08
 Hits 0.5 -180 85.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 64.3% 35.7% 0
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
37 Isaac Paredes ELITE 3/3 MIA @ HOU DH
RHB vs RHP
Good 75%
ERA 3.89
 Hits 0.5 -180 85.7 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 64.3% 35.7% 2
MIA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
38 Joc Pederson ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 CWS @ TEX TBD Hits 0.5 -180 85.7 1, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 64.3% 35.7% N/A
CHW @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
39 Luis Rengifo ELITE 3/3 SD @ ATL
S vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.54
 Hits 0.5 -180 85.7 1, 2, 3
3/3
100.0%
 64.3% 35.7% 1
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
40 Dillon Dingler 3/3 DET @ CHC C
RHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 4.74
 Home Runs 0.5 +600 85.7 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 14.3% 52.4% 0
DET @ CHC
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
41 Jake Burger ELITE 3/3 CWS @ TEX 1B TBD Hits 0.5 -185 85.1 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 64.9% 35.1% 0
CHW @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
42 Jackson Merrill 3/3 SD @ ATL CF
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.54
 Home Runs 0.5 +550 84.6 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 15.4% 51.3% 1
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
43 Alex Bregman ELITE 3/3 DET @ CHC DH
RHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.22
 Hits 0.5 -190 84.5 1, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 65.5% 34.5% 0
DET @ CHC
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
44 Brady House ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 WSH @ COL
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.14
 Hits 0.5 -190 84.5 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 65.5% 34.5% N/A
WSH @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
45 George Springer ELITE 3/3 TB @ TOR DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.08
 Hits 0.5 -190 84.5 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 65.5% 34.5% 0
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
46 Jonny DeLuca ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 TB @ TOR CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.65
 Hits 0.5 -190 84.5 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 65.5% 34.5% N/A
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
47 Jesus Rodriguez ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 SF @ KC
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 4.39
 Hits 0.5 -199 83.4 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 66.6% 33.4% N/A
SF @ KC
2:10 PM ET
Final
48 Brandon Lockridge
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 NYM @ MIL RF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.87
 Hits 1.5 +500 83.3 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 16.7% 50.0% N/A
NYM @ MIL
2:10 PM ET
Final
49 Jo Adell 3/3 STL @ LAA
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.03
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 83.3 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 16.7% 50.0% 0
STL @ LAA
4:07 PM ET
Final
L
50 Nathaniel Lowe
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CIN @ SEA
LHB vs RHP
Average 42%
ERA 3.17
 Home Runs 0.5 +500 83.3 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 16.7% 50.0% 0
CIN @ SEA
3:40 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 26–50 of 285 plays
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