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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 24 →
Wins
2
Losses
3
Push
1
Win %
40%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-24 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
375
Total Found
249
Shown
249
Actionable
25
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
51 Nick Gonzales ELITE 3/3 CHC @ PIT 2B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.15
Hits 0.5 -235 79.9 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
70.1% 29.9% 1
CHC @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
52 Jonny DeLuca
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CLE @ TB CF
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.74
Hits 1.5 +380 79.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
20.8% 45.8% 2
CLE @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
53 Joc Pederson
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 SEA @ TEX
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.27
Home Runs 0.5 +350 77.8 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
22.2% 44.4% 0
SEA @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
54 Yordan Alvarez 3/3 HOU @ CWS LF TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +340 77.3 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
22.7% 43.9% 0
HOU @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
55 Alan Roden
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 OAK @ MIN LF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 6.64
Runs Batted In 0.5 +321 76.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% N/A
ATH @ MIN
8:10 PM ET
Final
56 Joc Pederson
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 SEA @ TEX
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.27
Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% 1
SEA @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
57 Brooks Lee 3/3 OAK @ MIN 3B
S vs LHP
ERA 6.64
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
ATH @ MIN
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
58 Jo Adell 3/3 LAA @ SF
RHB vs RHP
Average 43%
ERA 3.87
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 1
LAA @ SF
10:15 PM ET
Final/10
L
59 Brayan Rocchio 3/3 CLE @ TB SS
S vs LHP
ERA 3.16
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 2
CLE @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
60 Isaac Paredes 3/3 HOU @ CWS DH TBD Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 0
HOU @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
61 Esmerlyn Valdez 3/3 CHC @ PIT
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.15
Home Runs 0.5 +275 73.3 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
26.7% 40.0% 0
CHC @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
62 Trevor Larnach
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 OAK @ MIN
LHB vs LHP
ERA 6.64
Runs Batted In 0.5 +273 73.2 1, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
26.8% 39.9% N/A
ATH @ MIN
8:10 PM ET
Final
63 Alika Williams 3/3 OAK @ MIN
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.40
Runs Batted In 0.5 +261 72.3 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
27.7% 39.0% 0
ATH @ MIN
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
64 Alec Bohm 3/3 NYY @ PHI 1B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.00
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 0
NYY @ PHI
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
65 Jake McCarthy 3/3 COL @ MIL LF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.20
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 1
COL @ MIL
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
66 Josh Naylor 3/3 SEA @ TEX 1B
LHB vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 4.80
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 0
SEA @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
67 Steven Kwan
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CLE @ TB LF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.16
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% N/A
CLE @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
68 Tommy White 3/3 OAK @ MIN
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.40
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 0, 2, 4
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 1
ATH @ MIN
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
69 Dominic Smith 3/3 ATL @ BAL DH TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +246 71.1 3, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
28.9% 37.8% 0
ATL @ BAL
7:05 PM ET
Final/10
L
70 Jorbit Vivas 3/3 ARI @ WSH TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +242 70.8 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
29.2% 37.4% 0
ARI @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
71 CJ Abrams 3/3 ARI @ WSH TBD Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 4, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 2
ARI @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
72 George Springer 3/3 TOR @ BOS DH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.82
Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 0
TOR @ BOS
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
73 Victor Bericoto
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAA @ SF DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 8.23
Runs Batted In 0.5 +240 70.6 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% N/A
LAA @ SF
10:15 PM ET
Final/10
74 Brewer Hicklen
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 ATL @ BAL PR TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +233 70.0 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
30.0% 36.6% 0
ATL @ BAL
7:05 PM ET
Final/10
L
75 Junior Caminero 3/3 CLE @ TB 3B
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.74
Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 1
CLE @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 51–75 of 249 plays