Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

66.7%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-26 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

318

Total Found

198

Shown

198

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Hao-Yu Lee ELITE	3/3	KC @ DET		Luinder Avila Unknown ERA 4.86	Hits	0.5	-200	83.3	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	66.7%	33.3%	1	KC @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final W
27	Tyler Soderstrom ELITE	3/3	OAK @ MIN		Connor Prielipp LHB vs LHP ERA 5.00	Hits	0.5	-200	83.3	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	66.7%	33.3%	2	ATH @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final W
28	Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	COL @ MIL	RF	Kyle Freeland RHB vs LHP ERA 7.28	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	N/A	COL @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final
29	Jose Siri ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ SF	PH	Carson Whisenhunt RHB vs LHP ERA 3.38	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	LAA @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
30	Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ MIL	3B	Jacob Misiorowski RHB vs RHP Ace 97% ERA 1.57	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	COL @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final L
31	Rafael Devers	3/3	LAA @ SF		José Soriano LHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.43	Home Runs	0.5	+500	83.3	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	LAA @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
32	Rafael Devers	3/3	LAA @ SF		José Soriano LHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.43	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	83.3	4, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	LAA @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
33	Eugenio Suarez	3/3	CIN @ STL	DH	Kyle Leahy RHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 3.59	Home Runs	0.5	+475	82.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	CIN @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final/10 L
34	Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	C	Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.68	Hits	1.5	+450	81.8	4, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	1	CLE @ TB 12:15 PM ET Final L
35	Cody Bellinger ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ PHI	LF	Cristopher Sánchez LHB vs LHP Ace 92% ERA 2.65	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	N/A	NYY @ PHI 7:20 PM ET Final
36	Ryan Jeffers ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ MIN	C	Jeffrey Springs RHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 5.96	Hits	0.5	-230	80.3	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	69.7%	30.3%	3	ATH @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final W
37	Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ NYM	PH	Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 5.01	Runs Batted In	1.5	+400	80.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	1	LAD @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
38	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	ARI @ WSH	DH	Miles Mikolas RHB vs RHP ERA 5.60	Runs Batted In	1.5	+380	79.2	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	2	ARI @ WSH 1:35 PM ET Final W
39	Jonny DeLuca ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	CF	Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.68	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	0	CLE @ TB 12:15 PM ET Final L
40	Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ NYM	PH	Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 5.01	Home Runs	0.5	+375	78.9	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	21.1%	45.6%	0	LAD @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
41	Nick Gonzales ELITE	3/3	CHC @ PIT	2B	Jameson Taillon RHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 5.38	Hits	0.5	-248	78.7	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	71.3%	28.7%	2	CHC @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final W
42	Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ BAL	DH	Shane Baz LHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 4.05	Home Runs	0.5	+350	77.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.2%	44.4%	0	ATL @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final/11 L
43	Pete Crow-Armstrong	3/3	CHC @ PIT	CF	Braxton Ashcraft LHB vs RHP Good 79% ERA 3.95	Home Runs	0.5	+350	77.8	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	22.2%	44.4%	0	CHC @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final L
44	Alan Roden ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ MIN	LF	Jeffrey Springs LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 5.96	Runs Batted In	0.5	+321	76.2	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	0	ATH @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
45	Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ BOS		Ranger Suarez LHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.15	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	1	TOR @ BOS 1:35 PM ET Final L
46	Dylan Beavers	3/3	ATL @ BAL		Reynaldo López LHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 3.95	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	0	ATL @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final/11 L
47	Rafael Devers	3/3	LAA @ SF		José Soriano LHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.43	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	3, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	0	LAA @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
48	J.T. Realmuto	3/3	NYY @ PHI	C	Will Warren RHB vs RHP Weak 20% ERA 4.00	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	NYY @ PHI 7:20 PM ET Final L
49	George Springer	3/3	TOR @ BOS	DH	Ranger Suarez RHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.15	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	2	TOR @ BOS 1:35 PM ET Final W
50	Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ CWS	DH	TBD	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	HOU @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 26–50 of 198 plays

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