Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

66.7%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-26 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

318

Total Found

198

Shown

198

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
51	Vinnie Pasquantino ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ DET	1B	Framber Valdez LHB vs LHP Weak 29% ERA 4.57	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	N/A	KC @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final
52	Alika Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ MIN		Connor Prielipp RHB vs LHP ERA 5.00	Runs Batted In	0.5	+262	72.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.6%	39.0%	0	ATH @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
53	Chandler Simpson	3/3	CLE @ TB	LF	Parker Messick LHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.68	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	2	CLE @ TB 12:15 PM ET Final W
54	Steven Kwan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	LF	Drew Rasmussen LHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 3.28	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	1, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	CLE @ TB 12:15 PM ET Final L
55	Tim Tawa	3/3	ARI @ WSH	1B	Miles Mikolas RHB vs RHP ERA 5.60	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	ARI @ WSH 1:35 PM ET Final L
56	Ty France	3/3	SD @ MIA	1B	Janson Junk RHB vs RHP Weak 24% ERA 5.09	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	2	SD @ MIA 1:40 PM ET Final W
57	Luis Rengifo	3/3	SD @ MIA		Janson Junk S vs RHP Weak 24% ERA 5.09	Runs Batted In	0.5	+257	72.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	28.0%	38.7%	0	SD @ MIA 1:40 PM ET Final L
58	Bryan Torres ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ STL	LF	Andrew Abbott LHB vs LHP Replacement 1% ERA 3.89	Runs Batted In	0.5	+256	71.9	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	28.1%	38.6%	0	CIN @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final/10 L
59	Dylan Crews	3/3	ARI @ WSH		TBD	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	3	ARI @ WSH 1:35 PM ET Final W
60	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	SD @ MIA	LF	Walker Buehler RHB vs RHP ERA 5.23	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	SD @ MIA 1:40 PM ET Final L
61	Victor Bericoto ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ SF	DH	José Soriano RHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.43	Runs Batted In	0.5	+240	70.6	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	N/A	LAA @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final
62	Alec Burleson	3/3	CIN @ STL	1B	Andrew Abbott LHB vs LHP Replacement 1% ERA 3.89	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	3, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	2	CIN @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final/10 W
63	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ MIA	3B	Janson Junk RHB vs RHP Weak 24% ERA 5.09	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	2	SD @ MIA 1:40 PM ET Final W
64	Lawrence Butler	3/3	OAK @ MIN		Connor Prielipp LHB vs LHP ERA 5.00	Runs Batted In	0.5	+220	68.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	0	ATH @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
65	Pete Crow-Armstrong	3/3	CHC @ PIT	CF	Braxton Ashcraft LHB vs RHP Good 79% ERA 3.95	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	4, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	1	CHC @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final L
66	Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ NYM	C	Emmet Sheehan RHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 5.13	Runs Batted In	0.5	+210	67.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	32.3%	34.4%	N/A	LAD @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final
67	Jasson Dominguez	3/3	NYY @ PHI		Cristopher Sánchez S vs LHP Ace 92% ERA 2.65	Runs Batted In	0.5	+210	67.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	32.3%	34.4%	1	NYY @ PHI 7:20 PM ET Final W
68	Romy Gonzalez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BOS		Kevin Gausman RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.51	Runs Batted In	0.5	+201	66.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	33.2%	33.4%	0	TOR @ BOS 1:35 PM ET Final L
69	Brice Turang	3/3	COL @ MIL	2B	Kyle Freeland LHB vs LHP ERA 7.28	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	2, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	1	COL @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final L
70	Michael Harris II	3/3	ATL @ BAL	CF	Shane Baz LHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 4.05	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	1	ATL @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final/11 L
71	Jonah Heim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ MIN		Connor Prielipp S vs LHP ERA 5.00	Runs Batted In	0.5	+199	66.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	33.4%	33.2%	0	ATH @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
72	Konnor Griffin ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CHC @ PIT	SS	Jameson Taillon RHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 5.38	Hits	1.5	+196	66.2	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.8%	32.9%	N/A	CHC @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final
73	Enrique Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ NYM	3B	Freddy Peralta RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 5.01	Runs Batted In	0.5	+195	66.1	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	33.9%	32.8%	N/A	LAD @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final
74	Jordan Walker	3/3	CIN @ STL	RF	Andrew Abbott RHB vs LHP Replacement 1% ERA 3.89	Hits	1.5	+195	66.1	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.9%	32.8%	0	CIN @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final/10 L
75	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	ARI @ WSH	DH	Miles Mikolas RHB vs RHP ERA 5.60	Hits	1.5	+175	63.6	1, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	36.4%	30.3%	2	ARI @ WSH 1:35 PM ET Final W

Showing 51–75 of 198 plays

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