Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-27 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

240

Total Found

156

Shown

156

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Cody Bellinger ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ CWS	LF	TBD	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	N/A	NYY @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final
27	Pete Crow-Armstrong	3/3	CHC @ STL	CF	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+425	81.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	19.0%	47.6%	0	CHC @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
28	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ SF	1B	Tyler Mahle LHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.31	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	1	MIL @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
29	Tim Tawa	3/3	ARI @ PIT	1B	Mitch Keller RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.90	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	0	ARI @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final/10 L
30	Nick Gonzales ELITE	3/3	ARI @ PIT	2B	TBD	Hits	0.5	-250	78.6	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	71.4%	28.6%	2	ARI @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final/10 W
31	Rafael Devers	3/3	MIL @ SF		Brandon Sproat LHB vs RHP ERA 5.09	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	0, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	MIL @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
32	CJ Abrams	3/3	TOR @ WSH		Max Scherzer LHB vs RHP ERA 10.23	Home Runs	0.5	+325	76.5	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	23.5%	43.1%	0	TOR @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
33	Jeff McNeil	3/3	BOS @ OAK		Payton Tolle LHB vs LHP ERA 3.31	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	1	BOS @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
34	Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CIN		Slade Cecconi LHB vs RHP Replacement 9% ERA 4.60	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	N/A	CLE @ CIN 7:00 PM ET Postponed
35	Chase Meidroth	3/3	NYY @ CWS	2B	Max Fried RHB vs LHP Good 80% ERA 2.97	Runs Batted In	0.5	+284	74.0	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.0%	40.6%	1	NYY @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final W
36	Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ SF	SS	Tyler Mahle RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.31	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	MIL @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
37	J.T. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ MIA	C	Tyler Phillips RHB vs RHP ERA 3.52	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	1	PHI @ MIA 6:40 PM ET Final L
38	Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ OAK	PH	Jack Perkins LHB vs RHP ERA 6.75	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	BOS @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
39	Pedro Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ STL	3B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	N/A	CHC @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final
40	Tyler Locklear ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ PIT		Mitch Keller RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.90	Runs Batted In	0.5	+271	73.0	1, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	27.0%	39.7%	0	ARI @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final/10 L
41	Hao-Yu Lee	3/3	BAL @ DET		Kyle Bradish Unknown Weak 10% ERA 3.49	Runs Batted In	0.5	+268	72.8	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.2%	39.5%	2	BAL @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final W
42	Bryan Torres	3/3	CHC @ STL	LF	David Peterson LHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.97	Runs Batted In	0.5	+256	71.9	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	28.1%	38.6%	1	CHC @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final W
43	Victor Bericoto ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ SF	DH	Brandon Sproat RHB vs RHP ERA 5.09	Runs Batted In	0.5	+240	70.6	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	N/A	MIL @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final
44	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ SF	2B	Tyler Mahle LHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.31	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	1, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	0	MIL @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
45	Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ TEX	2B	Kumar Rocker LHB vs RHP ERA 4.13	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	2, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	1	SEA @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final L
46	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	ARI @ PIT	DH	Mitch Keller RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.90	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	0	ARI @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final/10 L
47	Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ DET		Keider Montero RHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.14	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	2	BAL @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final W
48	Luis Lara	3/3	MIL @ SF	PH	Tyler Mahle S vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.31	Runs Batted In	0.5	+210	67.7	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	32.3%	34.4%	0	MIL @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
49	Blaze Jordan	3/3	CHC @ STL		David Peterson RHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.97	Runs Batted In	0.5	+202	66.9	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.1%	33.6%	0	CHC @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
50	Ivan Herrera	3/3	CHC @ STL	DH	David Peterson RHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.97	Hits	1.5	+202	66.9	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	33.1%	33.6%	1	CHC @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L

Showing 26–50 of 156 plays

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