Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-27 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

240

Total Found

156

Shown

156

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
101	Dylan Crews	3/3	TOR @ WSH		Max Scherzer RHB vs RHP ERA 10.23	Hits	0.5	-190	34.5	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	65.5%	1.1%	1	TOR @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final W
102	Miguel Vargas	3/3	NYY @ CWS	3B	Max Fried RHB vs LHP Good 80% ERA 2.97	Hits	0.5	-190	34.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	65.5%	1.1%	1	NYY @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final W
103	Sam Antonacci	3/3	NYY @ CWS	DH	Max Fried LHB vs LHP Good 80% ERA 2.97	Hits	0.5	-190	34.5	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	65.5%	1.1%	1	NYY @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final W
104	Anthony Seigler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ OAK		Jack Perkins LHB vs RHP ERA 6.75	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	0, 4, 1	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	0	BOS @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
105	Blaze Alexander ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BAL @ DET		Keider Montero RHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.14	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	N/A	BAL @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final
106	Blaze Jordan	3/3	CHC @ STL		David Peterson RHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.97	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	0	CHC @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
107	Jasson Dominguez	3/3	NYY @ CWS		TBD	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	2	NYY @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final W
108	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ WSH	3B	Andrew Alvarez RHB vs LHP ERA 4.22	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	1	TOR @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final W
109	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ WSH		Max Scherzer S vs RHP ERA 10.23	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	0	TOR @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
110	Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ STL	1B	TBD	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	0	CHC @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
111	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ OAK	CF	Jack Perkins RHB vs RHP ERA 6.75	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	32.6	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	4	BOS @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final W
112	Christian Encarnacion-Strand ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ DET		Keider Montero RHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.14	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	32.6	0, 1, 4	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	N/A	BAL @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final
113	Drew Gilbert	3/3	MIL @ SF	CF	Brandon Sproat LHB vs RHP ERA 5.09	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	1	MIL @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
114	Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ PIT	C	TBD	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	0	ARI @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final/10 L
115	Riley Greene	3/3	BAL @ DET	DH	Kyle Bradish LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.49	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	31.8	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	0	BAL @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final L
116	Colt Emerson	3/3	SEA @ TEX		Kumar Rocker LHB vs RHP ERA 4.13	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	1	SEA @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final L
117	David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ SF	3B	Tyler Mahle LHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 5.31	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	N/A	MIL @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final
118	Gabriel Arias ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CIN		Chase Burns RHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.42	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	N/A	CLE @ CIN 7:00 PM ET Postponed
119	J.P. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ TEX	SS	Kumar Rocker LHB vs RHP ERA 4.13	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	0	SEA @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final L
120	Jackson Holliday	3/3	BAL @ DET		Keider Montero LHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.14	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	4	BAL @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final W
121	Kyle Stowers	3/3	PHI @ MIA		Zack Wheeler LHB vs RHP Average 68% ERA 2.16	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	1	PHI @ MIA 6:40 PM ET Final L
122	Tommy Pham ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ CWS	PH	Max Fried RHB vs LHP Good 80% ERA 2.97	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	N/A	NYY @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final
123	Aaron Judge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ CWS		TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	N/A	NYY @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final
124	Dane Myers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CIN		Slade Cecconi RHB vs RHP Replacement 9% ERA 4.60	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	N/A	CLE @ CIN 7:00 PM ET Postponed
125	Joc Pederson	3/3	SEA @ TEX		George Kirby LHB vs RHP Weak 27% ERA 3.57	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	2	SEA @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final W

Showing 101–125 of 156 plays

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