Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-29 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

353

Total Found

218

Shown

218

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
101	Brett Baty ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ NYM	1B	Chris Sale LHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.19	Hits	0.5	-120	45.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	54.5%	12.1%	1	ATL @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final W
102	Jackson Holliday	3/3	BAL @ DET		Tarik Skubal LHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.70	Hits	0.5	-120	45.5	2, 4, 0	2/3 66.7%	54.5%	12.1%	2	BAL @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final/12 W
103	Marcus Semien	3/3	ATL @ NYM	2B	Chris Sale RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.19	Hits	0.5	-125	44.4	3, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	55.6%	11.1%	0	ATL @ NYM 1:10 PM ET Final L
104	Marcus Semien	3/3	ATL @ NYM	2B	Chris Sale RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.19	Hits	0.5	-125	44.4	3, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	55.6%	11.1%	0	ATL @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
105	Nick Allen	3/3	HOU @ LAA	3B	Grayson Rodriguez RHB vs RHP ERA 8.54	Hits	0.5	-125	44.4	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	55.6%	11.1%	0	HOU @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
106	Willi Castro	3/3	COL @ SD		TBD	Hits	0.5	-125	44.4	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	55.6%	11.1%	1	COL @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final W
107	Travis d'Arnaud ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	HOU @ LAA		Hayden Wesneski RHB vs RHP	Hits	0.5	-130	43.5	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	56.5%	10.1%	N/A	HOU @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final
108	Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ STL	PH	Dustin May LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.59	Hits	0.5	-133	42.9	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	57.1%	9.6%	0	CHC @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final/10 L
109	Mitch Garver ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ LAD		Eric Lauer RHB vs LHP ERA 4.83	Hits	0.5	-133	42.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	57.1%	9.6%	0	SEA @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
110	Chase Meidroth	3/3	NYY @ CWS	2B	Cam Schlittler RHB vs RHP Ace 95% ERA 2.07	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1300	42.9	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	7.1%	26.2%	0	NYY @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final/12 L
111	Josh Rojas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ MIN	PH	Joe Ryan LHB vs RHP Average 44% ERA 3.38	Hits	0.5	-135	42.6	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	57.4%	9.2%	1	KC @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final W
112	Lars Nootbaar	3/3	CHC @ STL		Matthew Boyd LHB vs LHP ERA 3.81	Hits	0.5	-135	42.6	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	57.4%	9.2%	1	CHC @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final/10 W
113	Eliezer Alfonzo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ LAD		Emerson Hancock S vs RHP Average 42% ERA 3.16	Hits	0.5	-136	42.4	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	57.6%	9.0%	N/A	SEA @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final
114	Bryan Torres	3/3	CHC @ STL	LF	Matthew Boyd LHB vs LHP ERA 3.81	Hits	0.5	-139	41.8	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	58.2%	8.5%	0	CHC @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final/10 L
115	Victor Bericoto ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ SF	DH	Shane Drohan RHB vs LHP ERA 3.51	Hits	0.5	-140	41.7	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	58.3%	8.3%	N/A	MIL @ SF 3:45 PM ET Final
116	Kyle Isbel ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	KC @ MIN	CF	Joe Ryan LHB vs RHP Average 44% ERA 3.38	Hits	0.5	-143	41.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	58.8%	7.8%	N/A	KC @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final
117	Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ STL	C	Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.59	Hits	0.5	-143	41.2	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	58.8%	7.8%	0	CHC @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final/10 L
118	Luis Arraez	3/3	MIL @ SF		Shane Drohan LHB vs LHP ERA 3.51	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	40.0	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	10.0%	23.3%	2	MIL @ SF 3:45 PM ET Final W
119	Gavin Sheets	3/3	COL @ SD	DH	Gabriel Hughes LHB vs RHP ERA 2.79	Hits	0.5	-150	40.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	60.0%	6.7%	0	COL @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final L
120	Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SD	C	Gabriel Hughes RHB vs RHP ERA 2.79	Hits	0.5	-150	40.0	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	60.0%	6.7%	N/A	COL @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final
121	Christian Encarnacion-Strand ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ DET		Tarik Skubal RHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.70	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	0, 1, 4	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0	BAL @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final/12 L
122	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ TB	3B	Casey Legumina RHB vs RHP ERA 3.95	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0	TEX @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
123	Jordan Lawlar ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ARI @ PIT	CF	Jared Jones RHB vs RHP ERA 3.72	Hits	0.5	-160	38.5	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	61.5%	5.1%	N/A	ARI @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final
124	Luis Lara	3/3	MIL @ SF	PH	Logan Webb S vs RHP Average 43% ERA 3.98	Hits	0.5	-160	38.5	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	61.5%	5.1%	1	MIL @ SF 3:45 PM ET Final W
125	Connor Wong	3/3	BOS @ OAK	C	Jacob Lopez RHB vs LHP ERA 6.12	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	0	BOS @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final/10 L

Showing 101–125 of 218 plays

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