Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-31 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

296

Total Found

176

Shown

176

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Freddie Freeman ELITE	3/3	BOS @ LAD	1B	Ranger Suarez LHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.02	Hits	0.5	-217	81.5	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.5%	31.5%	3	BOS @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
27	Andy Pages ELITE	3/3	BOS @ LAD	CF	Ranger Suarez RHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.02	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	2, 3, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	1	BOS @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
28	Cody Bellinger ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ CHC	LF	Shota Imanaga LHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.72	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	N/A	NYY @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final
29	Heliot Ramos ELITE	3/3	SF @ SD		Bradgley Rodriguez RHB vs RHP ERA 2.33	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	1, 4, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	0	SF @ SD 9:45 PM ET Final L
30	Jung Hoo Lee ELITE	3/3	SF @ SD		Bradgley Rodriguez LHB vs RHP ERA 2.33	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	0	SF @ SD 9:45 PM ET Final L
31	Ceddanne Rafaela ELITE	3/3	BOS @ LAD	CF	Edgardo Henriquez RHB vs RHP ERA 2.79	Hits	0.5	-225	80.8	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	69.2%	30.8%	3	BOS @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
32	Nick Gonzales ELITE	3/3	PIT @ CIN	2B	Hunter Greene RHB vs RHP ERA 7.06	Hits	0.5	-225	80.8	2, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	69.2%	30.8%	2	PIT @ CIN 6:10 PM ET Final W
33	Shohei Ohtani ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	DH	Ranger Suarez LHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.02	Hits	0.5	-229	80.4	2, 3, 1	3/3 100.0%	69.6%	30.4%	2	BOS @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
34	Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	WSH @ ATL		Bryce Elder LHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 3.96	Home Runs	0.5	+400	80.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
35	Bryce Harper ELITE	3/3	PHI @ BAL	RF	Brandon Young LHB vs RHP ERA 3.13	Hits	0.5	-235	79.9	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	70.1%	29.9%	1	PHI @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final W
36	Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ NYM		Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.99	Home Runs	0.5	+375	78.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	21.1%	45.6%	1	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final W
37	Fernando Tatis Jr. ELITE	3/3	SF @ SD	RF	Carson Whisenhunt RHB vs LHP ERA 4.60	Hits	0.5	-250	78.6	1, 1, 5	3/3 100.0%	71.4%	28.6%	1	SF @ SD 9:45 PM ET Final W
38	Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ CIN	2B	Hunter Greene LHB vs RHP ERA 7.06	Home Runs	0.5	+350	77.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.2%	44.4%	0	PIT @ CIN 6:10 PM ET Final L
39	Lawrence Butler	3/3	DET @ OAK		Casey Mize LHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 2.70	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	DET @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
40	Max Kepler	3/3	ARI @ CLE		Tanner Bibee LHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 3.89	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	ARI @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final L
41	Jose Altuve	3/3	TEX @ HOU	2B	Nathan Eovaldi RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 4.05	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	0	TEX @ HOU 8:15 PM ET Final L
42	Jake Bauers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAA	1B	Ryan Johnson LHB vs RHP ERA 7.34	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	2	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final W
43	Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ TOR	C	Kyle Leahy RHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 3.55	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	N/A	STL @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final
44	Jonah Heim	3/3	DET @ OAK		Casey Mize S vs RHP Average 61% ERA 2.70	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	1	DET @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
45	Alex Bregman	3/3	NYY @ CHC	DH	Will Warren RHB vs RHP Weak 20% ERA 4.41	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	NYY @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final L
46	Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ NYM		Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.99	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
47	Vaughn Grissom	3/3	MIL @ LAA	1B	Shane Drohan RHB vs LHP ERA 3.51	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	1, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
48	Eliezer Alfonzo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ LAD		Ranger Suarez S vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.02	Runs Batted In	0.5	+250	71.4	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	28.6%	38.1%	1	BOS @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
49	Josh Naylor	3/3	MIN @ SEA	1B	Zebby Matthews LHB vs RHP ERA 5.21	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	MIN @ SEA 10:10 PM ET Final L
50	Victor Bericoto ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SF @ SD	DH	Bradgley Rodriguez RHB vs RHP ERA 2.33	Runs Batted In	0.5	+240	70.6	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	N/A	SF @ SD 9:45 PM ET Final

Showing 26–50 of 176 plays

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