Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-31 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

296

Total Found

176

Shown

176

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
101	Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ SD		Bradgley Rodriguez LHB vs RHP ERA 2.33	Hits	0.5	-164	37.9	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.1%	4.5%	0	SF @ SD 9:45 PM ET Final L
102	Dominic Smith ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ ATL	DH	Foster Griffin LHB vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.76	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	1, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	N/A	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final
103	Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ BAL	CF	Brandon Young LHB vs RHP ERA 3.13	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	1	PHI @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final W
104	Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ SD		Bradgley Rodriguez LHB vs RHP ERA 2.33	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	3, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	0	SF @ SD 9:45 PM ET Final L
105	Tommy Troy ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ARI @ CLE		Tanner Bibee RHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 3.89	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	N/A	ARI @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final
106	Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ OAK		Casey Mize LHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 2.70	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	N/A	DET @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final
107	Zach McKinstry	3/3	DET @ OAK	RF	Jeffrey Springs LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 6.23	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	DET @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
108	Leody Taveras	3/3	PHI @ BAL		TBD	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	0	PHI @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final L
109	Roman Anthony ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BOS @ LAD	DH	Edgardo Henriquez LHB vs RHP ERA 2.79	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	N/A	BOS @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final
110	Will Smith ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BOS @ LAD	C	Ranger Suarez RHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.02	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	N/A	BOS @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final
111	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ ATL		Bryce Elder LHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 3.96	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
112	Max Kepler	3/3	ARI @ CLE		Tanner Bibee LHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 3.89	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	0	ARI @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final L
113	Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ BAL	2B	Brandon Young LHB vs RHP ERA 3.13	Hits	0.5	-180	35.7	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	64.3%	2.4%	0	PHI @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final L
114	Christian Encarnacion-Strand ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ BAL		TBD	Hits	0.5	-180	35.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	64.3%	2.4%	1	PHI @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final W
115	Gabriel Gonzalez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ SEA		Bryce Miller RHB vs RHP ERA 2.75	Hits	0.5	-185	35.1	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	64.9%	1.8%	N/A	MIN @ SEA 10:10 PM ET Final
116	Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SF @ SD	SS	Carson Whisenhunt RHB vs LHP ERA 4.60	Hits	0.5	-185	35.1	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	64.9%	1.8%	1	SF @ SD 9:45 PM ET Final W
117	Francisco Lindor	3/3	MIA @ NYM	SS	Janson Junk S vs RHP Weak 24% ERA 4.89	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	1, 0, 6	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	1	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
118	George Springer	3/3	STL @ TOR	DH	Kyle Leahy RHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 3.55	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	1, 3, 0	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	0	STL @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
119	Jahmai Jones ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	DH	Edgardo Henriquez RHB vs RHP ERA 2.79	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	0	BOS @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
120	Travis d'Arnaud ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ LAA		Shane Drohan RHB vs LHP ERA 3.51	Hits	1.5	+550	34.6	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	0	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
121	Luis Lara	3/3	MIL @ LAA	PH	Ryan Johnson S vs RHP ERA 7.34	Hits	0.5	-190	34.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	65.5%	1.1%	0	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
122	Masataka Yoshida	3/3	BOS @ LAD		Edgardo Henriquez LHB vs RHP ERA 2.79	Hits	0.5	-199	33.4	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	66.6%	0.1%	2	BOS @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
123	Jo Adell	3/3	MIL @ LAA		Shane Drohan RHB vs LHP ERA 3.51	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
124	Jorge Soler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAA		Shane Drohan RHB vs LHP ERA 3.51	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
125	Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ CHC	RF	Shota Imanaga LHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.72	Hits	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	1	NYY @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final L

Showing 101–125 of 176 plays

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