Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

25%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-04 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

322

Total Found

211

Shown

211

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Ceddanne Rafaela ELITE	3/3	CWS @ BOS	CF	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+600	135.7	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	14.3%	85.7%	0	CHW @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final L
2	Spencer Torkelson ELITE	3/3	DET @ SEA	1B	Emerson Hancock RHB vs RHP Average 42% ERA 3.26	Hits	1.5	+400	130.0	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	20.0%	80.0%	1	DET @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
3	Matt Olson ELITE	3/3	MIA @ ATL	1B	Ryan Gusto LHB vs RHP ERA 5.31	Home Runs	0.5	+325	126.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	23.5%	76.5%	0	MIA @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
4	James McCann ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ ARI	C	Randy Vásquez RHB vs RHP Weak 15% ERA 4.45	Hits	1.5	+320	126.2	2, 3, 4	3/3 100.0%	23.8%	76.2%	1	SD @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
5	Patrick Bailey ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ CLE	C	Sean Manaea S vs LHP ERA 4.42	Runs Batted In	0.5	+262	122.4	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	27.6%	72.4%	N/A	NYM @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final
6	Jordan Walker ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ NYY	RF	Ryan Weathers RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.99	Hits	1.5	+230	119.7	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	30.3%	69.7%	N/A	STL @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
7	Kyle Karros ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	3B	Freddy Peralta RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.99	Hits	1.5	+220	118.8	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	31.3%	68.8%	0	TB @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final/11 L
8	Ceddanne Rafaela ELITE	3/3	CWS @ BOS	CF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+192	115.8	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	34.2%	65.8%	1	CHW @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final L
9	Luke Maile ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ KC	C	Joe Ryan RHB vs RHP Average 44% ERA 3.52	Hits	0.5	+120	104.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	45.5%	54.5%	N/A	MIN @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final
10	Christian Vazquez ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ HOU		Trey Yesavage RHB vs RHP ERA 3.73	Hits	0.5	-113	96.9	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	53.1%	46.9%	N/A	TOR @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final
11	Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ KC	RF	Randy Dobnak RHB vs RHP ERA 1.04	Home Runs	0.5	+1100	91.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	8.3%	58.3%	0	MIN @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
12	Osleivis Basabe	3/3	SF @ TEX	PH	MacKenzie Gore RHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.77	Home Runs	0.5	+1100	91.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	8.3%	58.3%	1	SF @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final W
13	Jose Caballero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ NYY	3B	Hunter Dobbins RHB vs RHP ERA 3.74	Home Runs	0.5	+1000	90.9	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	N/A	STL @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
14	Nathan Church ELITE	3/3	STL @ NYY	CF	Ryan Weathers LHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.99	Hits	0.5	-150	90.0	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.0%	40.0%	1	STL @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final W
15	Javier Baez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ SEA	SS	Emerson Hancock RHB vs RHP Average 42% ERA 3.26	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	DET @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
16	Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ BOS	DH	Patrick Sandoval LHB vs LHP ERA 3.32	Home Runs	0.5	+800	88.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	N/A	CHW @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final
17	Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ SEA		Emerson Hancock RHB vs RHP Average 42% ERA 3.26	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	2	DET @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final W
18	Jake McCarthy	3/3	TB @ COL	LF	Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.99	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	TB @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final/11 L
19	Justin Crawford	3/3	WSH @ PHI	CF	Zack Littell LHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.94	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	WSH @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
20	Dominic Smith ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ ATL	DH	Ryan Gusto LHB vs RHP ERA 5.31	Hits	0.5	-165	87.7	1, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	62.3%	37.7%	0	MIA @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
21	Kevin McGonigle	3/3	DET @ SEA	3B	Emerson Hancock LHB vs RHP Average 42% ERA 3.26	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	1	DET @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
22	Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	MIA @ ATL	LF	Ryan Gusto LHB vs RHP ERA 5.31	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	MIA @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
23	Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ KC		Randy Dobnak LHB vs RHP ERA 1.04	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	MIN @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
24	Amed Rosario ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ NYY	3B	Hunter Dobbins RHB vs RHP ERA 3.74	Hits	0.5	-178	86.0	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	64.0%	36.0%	N/A	STL @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
25	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	CWS @ BOS	CF	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	2	CHW @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final W

Showing 1–25 of 211 plays

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