Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

25%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-04 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

322

Total Found

211

Shown

211

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Kyle Karros ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	3B	Freddy Peralta RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.99	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	TB @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final/11 L
27	Nathaniel Lowe ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ CIN		J.T. Ginn LHB vs RHP Average 49% ERA 3.46	Hits	0.5	-182	85.5	3, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	64.5%	35.5%	N/A	ATH @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final
28	Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	MIA @ ATL	LF	Ryan Gusto LHB vs RHP ERA 5.31	Home Runs	0.5	+575	85.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.8%	51.9%	0	MIA @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
29	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ ARI	CF	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	2	SD @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final W
30	Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ KC	1B	Randy Dobnak RHB vs RHP ERA 1.04	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	MIN @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
31	Dylan Beavers ELITE	3/3	LAA @ BAL		Grayson Rodriguez LHB vs RHP ERA 7.98	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	0	LAA @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final L
32	Kevin McGonigle	3/3	DET @ SEA	3B	Emerson Hancock LHB vs RHP Average 42% ERA 3.26	Home Runs	0.5	+500	83.3	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	DET @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
33	Teoscar Hernández ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ CHC	LF	Javier Assad RHB vs RHP ERA 3.75	Hits	0.5	-201	83.2	2, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	66.8%	33.2%	0	LAD @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final L
34	Cal Raleigh	3/3	DET @ SEA	DH	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	82.6	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	DET @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
35	Teoscar Hernández ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ CHC	LF	Javier Assad RHB vs RHP ERA 3.75	Home Runs	0.5	+475	82.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	LAD @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final L
36	Max Clark	3/3	DET @ SEA	CF	Emerson Hancock LHB vs RHP Average 42% ERA 3.26	Hits	1.5	+450	81.8	1, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	DET @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
37	Cody Bellinger ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	STL @ NYY	LF	Hunter Dobbins LHB vs RHP ERA 3.74	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	N/A	STL @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
38	Luke Maile ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ KC	C	Joe Ryan RHB vs RHP Average 44% ERA 3.52	Runs Batted In	0.5	+425	81.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	19.0%	47.6%	N/A	MIN @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final
39	Cam Smith	3/3	TOR @ HOU	RF	Trey Yesavage RHB vs RHP ERA 3.73	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	2, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	1	TOR @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
40	Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ ARI		Randy Vásquez RHB vs RHP Weak 15% ERA 4.45	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	1	SD @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
41	Sal Stewart	3/3	OAK @ CIN	1B	J.T. Ginn RHB vs RHP Average 49% ERA 3.46	Home Runs	0.5	+400	80.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	0	ATH @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
42	Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ ATL		Grant Holmes LHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.88	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	0	MIA @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
43	Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ ARI	C	TBD	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	N/A	SD @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final
44	Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ BOS	3B	Patrick Sandoval RHB vs LHP ERA 3.32	Home Runs	0.5	+350	77.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.2%	44.4%	0	CHW @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final L
45	Jose Altuve	3/3	TOR @ HOU	2B	Trey Yesavage RHB vs RHP ERA 3.73	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	3	TOR @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final W
46	Javier Baez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ SEA	SS	Emerson Hancock RHB vs RHP Average 42% ERA 3.26	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	0, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	0	DET @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
47	Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ MIL	C	Logan Henderson RHB vs RHP ERA 2.66	Runs Batted In	0.5	+300	75.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	N/A	PIT @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final
48	Willi Castro	3/3	TB @ COL		Freddy Peralta S vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.99	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	TB @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final/11 L
49	Bryce Harper	3/3	WSH @ PHI	RF	Zack Littell LHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.94	Home Runs	0.5	+275	73.3	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.7%	40.0%	0	WSH @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
50	Drew Cavanaugh ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ TEX	C	MacKenzie Gore LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.77	Runs Batted In	0.5	+267	72.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.2%	39.4%	N/A	SF @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final

Showing 26–50 of 211 plays

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