Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

25%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-04 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

322

Total Found

211

Shown

211

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
151	Jose Caballero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ NYY	3B	Hunter Dobbins RHB vs RHP ERA 3.74	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	N/A	STL @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
152	Jose Fermin	3/3	STL @ NYY	LF	Ryan Weathers RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.99	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	0	STL @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
153	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ PHI		Jesús Luzardo S vs LHP Ace 90% ERA 3.57	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	N/A	WSH @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final
154	Michael Busch	3/3	LAD @ CHC	1B	Tarik Skubal LHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.79	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	0	LAD @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final L
155	Tommy Pham ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ BOS	PH	Patrick Sandoval RHB vs LHP ERA 3.32	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	N/A	CHW @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final
156	Aaron Judge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	STL @ NYY		Hunter Dobbins RHB vs RHP ERA 3.74	Runs Batted In	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	N/A	STL @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
157	Austin Riley	3/3	MIA @ ATL	3B	Ryan Gusto RHB vs RHP ERA 5.31	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	2	MIA @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final W
158	Blaze Jordan	3/3	STL @ NYY		Ryan Weathers RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.99	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	1	STL @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
159	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ MIL	LF	Logan Henderson S vs RHP ERA 2.66	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	PIT @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final L
160	Bryce Harper	3/3	WSH @ PHI	RF	Zack Littell LHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.94	Runs Batted In	1.5	+340	27.3	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	WSH @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
161	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ BOS	1B	Patrick Sandoval LHB vs LHP ERA 3.32	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	1	CHW @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final L
162	Tim Tawa	3/3	SD @ ARI	1B	Randy Vásquez RHB vs RHP Weak 15% ERA 4.45	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	SD @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
163	Brendan Donovan ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	DET @ SEA		TBD	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 3, 0	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	DET @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
164	Bryce Eldridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ TEX		MacKenzie Gore LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.77	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	SF @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
165	Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ CLE	RF	Joey Cantillo LHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.88	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	NYM @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final L
166	Lawrence Butler	3/3	OAK @ CIN		Brady Singer LHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 4.68	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	ATH @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
167	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	SF @ TEX	3B	Blade Tidwell RHB vs RHP ERA 3.00	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	4, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	3	SF @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final W
168	Giancarlo Stanton ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	STL @ NYY	PH	Hunter Dobbins RHB vs RHP ERA 3.74	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	STL @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
169	Griffin Conine	3/3	MIA @ ATL	RF	Grant Holmes LHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.88	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	MIA @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
170	Jonny DeLuca ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	CF	Gabriel Hughes RHB vs RHP ERA 3.33	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	TB @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final/11 L
171	Justin Crawford	3/3	WSH @ PHI	CF	Zack Littell LHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.94	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	2	WSH @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final W
172	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ HOU	3B	Hayden Wesneski RHB vs RHP ERA 4.76	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	TOR @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
173	Nolan Arenado	3/3	SD @ ARI	3B	Randy Vásquez RHB vs RHP Weak 15% ERA 4.45	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	SD @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
174	Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ TEX		MacKenzie Gore LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.77	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	SF @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
175	George Springer	3/3	TOR @ HOU	DH	Hayden Wesneski RHB vs RHP ERA 4.76	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	1	TOR @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 151–175 of 211 plays

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