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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 5 →
Wins
0
Losses
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Win %
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Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-05 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
323
Total Found
201
Shown
201
Actionable
11
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
151 Brandon Lowe 3/3 PIT @ MIL 2B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.01
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
PIT @ MIL
7:30 PM ET
Final
L
152 Bryce Harper 3/3 WSH @ PHI RF
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 5.56
Runs Batted In 1.5 +340 27.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
WSH @ PHI
7:05 PM ET
Final/11
L
153 Kazuma Okamoto 3/3 TOR @ HOU 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.42
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
TOR @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
154 Chase Meidroth 3/3 CWS @ BOS 2B
RHB vs RHP
Good 88%
ERA 2.93
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
CHW @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
155 Gleyber Torres 3/3 DET @ SEA
RHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.56
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
DET @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
156 Jose Fermin 3/3 STL @ NYY LF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.14
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
STL @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
157 Nathan Church 3/3 STL @ NYY CF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.14
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 2
STL @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
W
158 Travis Bazzana 3/3 NYM @ CLE 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.99
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
NYM @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
159 Angel Martínez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYM @ CLE PH
S vs RHP
ERA 2.99
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
NYM @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
160 Bryan Reynolds 3/3 PIT @ MIL LF
S vs LHP
ERA 3.01
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
PIT @ MIL
7:30 PM ET
Final
L
161 Giancarlo Stanton
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 STL @ NYY PH
RHB vs RHP
Average 38%
ERA 3.72
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
STL @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
162 Javier Sanoja 3/3 MIA @ ATL SS
RHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 3.84
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
MIA @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
163 Tyler Stephenson
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 OAK @ CIN C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 5.79
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
ATH @ CIN
6:40 PM ET
Final
164 Bryce Eldridge
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SF @ TEX
LHB vs LHP
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
SF @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
L
165 Bryson Stott 3/3 WSH @ PHI 2B
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 5.56
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
WSH @ PHI
7:05 PM ET
Final/11
L
166 Josh Naylor 3/3 DET @ SEA 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.24
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 0
DET @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
167 Luke Keaschall
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIN @ KC RF
RHB vs LHP
Average 42%
ERA 4.59
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% N/A
MIN @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
168 Michael Busch 3/3 LAD @ CHC 1B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.50
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 2
LAD @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
W
169 Randy Arozarena 3/3 DET @ SEA LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.24
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 2
DET @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
170 Taylor Walls 3/3 TB @ COL SS
S vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.47
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 0
TB @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
L
171 Caleb Durbin 3/3 CWS @ BOS 3B TBD Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
CHW @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
172 Corey Seager
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SF @ TEX SS
LHB vs LHP
ERA 6.63
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% N/A
SF @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
173 Jake Burger 3/3 SF @ TEX 1B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 6.63
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
SF @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
L
174 Lawrence Butler 3/3 OAK @ CIN
LHB vs RHP
Weak 13%
ERA 5.42
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
ATH @ CIN
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
175 Mauricio Dubon 3/3 MIA @ ATL SS
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 3.44
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 2
MIA @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 151–175 of 201 plays