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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 7 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-07 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
342
Total Found
235
Shown
235
Actionable
20
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
101 Graham Pauley
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAA @ MIA 3B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 11.57
Hits 0.5 -110 47.6 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% N/A
LAA @ MIA
7:10 PM ET
Final
102 Andrew Pinckney
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CIN @ WSH TBD Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% N/A
CIN @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
103 Ryan McMahon 3/3 ATL @ NYY 3B
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 5.13
Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% 2
ATL @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final/10
W
104 Brian Serven
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 OAK @ BOS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.30
Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
54.5% 12.1% 0
ATH @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
105 Harry Ford 3/3 CIN @ WSH TBD Hits 0.5 -123 44.8 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
55.2% 11.5% 1
CIN @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
106 Jose Trevino
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CIN @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.52
Hits 0.5 -128 43.9 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
56.1% 10.5% N/A
CIN @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
107 Chandler Simpson 3/3 TB @ SEA LF
LHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.46
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1300 42.9 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
7.1% 26.2% 0
TB @ SEA
9:45 PM ET
Final
L
108 Eliezer Alfonzo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ ARI TBD Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% N/A
LAD @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
109 Matt McLain 3/3 CIN @ WSH 2B
RHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.52
Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% 2
CIN @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
110 Brenton Doyle 3/3 CLE @ CWS CF
RHB vs LHP
Average 64%
ERA 2.57
Hits 0.5 -138 42.0 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
58.0% 8.7% 0
CLE @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
111 Brenton Doyle
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 COL @ STL
RHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.44
Hits 0.5 -138 42.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
58.0% 8.7% N/A
COL @ STL
8:15 PM ET
Final
112 Leo Jimenez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 LAA @ MIA
RHB vs RHP
ERA 11.57
Hits 0.5 -139 41.8 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
58.2% 8.5% 2
LAA @ MIA
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
113 Dalton Rushing
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ ARI PH TBD Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
LAD @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
114 Francisco Alvarez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 NYM @ PIT C
RHB vs RHP
Average 51%
ERA 3.15
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
NYM @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
115 Jacob Young 3/3 CIN @ WSH TBD Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% 1
CIN @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
116 Jorge Soler
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAA @ MIA
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
LAA @ MIA
7:10 PM ET
Final
117 Luis Torrens
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 NYM @ PIT C
RHB vs RHP
Average 51%
ERA 3.15
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% 0
NYM @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
118 Victor Bericoto
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 DET @ SF DH
RHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.17
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
DET @ SF
10:15 PM ET
Final
119 Mauricio Dubón
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ATL @ NYY SS
RHB vs LHP
Good 80%
ERA 3.12
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% 0
ATL @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final/10
L
120 Jacob Wilson
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 OAK @ BOS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.30
Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 40.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
10.0% 23.3% 0
ATH @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
121 Brayan Rocchio 3/3 CLE @ CWS SS TBD Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 0
CLE @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
122 Colson Montgomery 3/3 CLE @ CWS SS
LHB vs LHP
Average 64%
ERA 2.57
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 0
CLE @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
123 Drew Gilbert 3/3 DET @ SF CF
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.17
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 0
DET @ SF
10:15 PM ET
Final
L
124 Edwin Arroyo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CIN @ WSH
S vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.52
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% N/A
CIN @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
125 Travis Bazzana
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CLE @ CWS 2B TBD Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% N/A
CLE @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
Showing 101–125 of 235 plays