Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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← Jul 12 – Aug 10 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

24%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-10 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

213

Total Found

127

Shown

127

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Carson Benge ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ ATL	RF	Bryce Elder LHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 3.69	Hits	1.5	+260	122.2	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	27.8%	72.2%	0	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
2	Jake McCarthy ELITE	3/3	COL @ ARI	LF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+200	116.7	2, 4, 3	3/3 100.0%	33.3%	66.7%	1	COL @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
3	Starling Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ LAD		Tarik Skubal RHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.81	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1300	92.9	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	7.1%	59.5%	0	KC @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
4	Francisco Alvarez ELITE	3/3	NYM @ ATL	C	Bryce Elder RHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 3.69	Hits	0.5	-136	92.4	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	57.6%	42.4%	2	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final W
5	Andres Gimenez	3/3	BOS @ TOR	SS	Sonny Gray LHB vs RHP Good 88% ERA 2.78	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	90.9	2, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	1	BOS @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
6	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ SD	2B	Casey Mize LHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 3.40	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	MIL @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
7	Jackson Merrill	3/3	MIL @ SD	CF	Logan Henderson LHB vs RHP ERA 2.70	Home Runs	0.5	+500	83.3	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	1	MIL @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final W
8	Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SD	C	Logan Henderson RHB vs RHP ERA 2.70	Hits	1.5	+475	82.6	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	1	MIL @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
9	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	MIL @ SD	RF	Logan Henderson RHB vs RHP ERA 2.70	Home Runs	0.5	+450	81.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	MIL @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
10	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ SD	LF	Casey Mize RHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 3.40	Home Runs	0.5	+450	81.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	MIL @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
11	Anthony Seigler ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TOR		Jameson Taillon LHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 5.96	Hits	0.5	-222	81.1	1, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	68.9%	31.1%	1	BOS @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final W
12	Wilyer Abreu ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TOR	RF	Jameson Taillon LHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 5.96	Runs Batted In	1.5	+380	79.2	1, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	0	BOS @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
13	Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	TB @ OAK		Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 5.37	Home Runs	0.5	+375	78.9	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	21.1%	45.6%	0	TB @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
14	Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ LAD	RF	Tarik Skubal LHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.81	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	1, 4, 2	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	2	KC @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
15	Leody Taveras	3/3	BAL @ MIN		Dean Kremer S vs RHP ERA 5.93	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	1	BAL @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final L
16	Matt Olson	3/3	NYM @ ATL	1B	Christian Scott LHB vs RHP ERA 3.15	Home Runs	0.5	+300	75.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
17	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ SD	2B	Casey Mize LHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 3.40	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	1, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	MIL @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
18	Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ STL	2B	Hunter Dobbins LHB vs RHP ERA 3.60	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	2	PHI @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final W
19	Jackson Holliday	3/3	BAL @ MIN		Dean Kremer LHB vs RHP ERA 5.93	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	2	BAL @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final W
20	Nathan Lukes	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RF	Sonny Gray LHB vs RHP Good 88% ERA 2.78	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	1, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	BOS @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
21	Yohel Pozo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ MIN		Dean Kremer RHB vs RHP ERA 5.93	Runs Batted In	0.5	+260	72.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	BAL @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final L
22	Eliezer Alfonzo ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	KC @ LAD		Noah Cameron S vs LHP Average 42% ERA 4.37	Runs Batted In	0.5	+255	71.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	28.2%	38.5%	N/A	KC @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final
23	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	MIL @ SD	RF	Logan Henderson RHB vs RHP ERA 2.70	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	MIL @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
24	Francisco Alvarez	3/3	NYM @ ATL	C	Bryce Elder RHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 3.69	Runs Batted In	0.5	+240	70.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
25	Masataka Yoshida ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ TOR		Jameson Taillon LHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 5.96	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	BOS @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 127 plays

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