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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 11 →
Wins
0
Losses
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Win %
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Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-11 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
325
Total Found
237
Shown
237
Actionable
36
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
201 Sal Stewart 3/3 CIN @ CWS 1B TBD Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
66.7% 0.0% 1
CIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
202 Freddy Fermin
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ SD C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 2.84
Hits 1.5 +475 32.6 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
17.4% 15.9% N/A
MIL @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
203 Zach McKinstry 3/3 CLE @ DET RF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 23%
ERA 3.85
Hits 1.5 +475 32.6 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
17.4% 15.9% 0
CLE @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
204 Rhys Hoskins 3/3 CLE @ DET
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.01
Hits 1.5 +450 31.8 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
18.2% 15.2% 0
CLE @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
205 Tyler Locklear 3/3 COL @ ARI
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.51
Hits 1.5 +450 31.8 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
18.2% 15.2% 0
COL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
206 Andres Gimenez 3/3 BOS @ TOR SS
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.38
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% 1
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
207 Connor Wong
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 BOS @ TOR C
RHB vs RHP
Good 71%
ERA 2.28
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% N/A
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
208 George Lombard Jr. 3/3 SEA @ NYY SS
RHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.31
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% 1
SEA @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
209 Jahmai Jones
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 BOS @ TOR DH
RHB vs RHP
Good 71%
ERA 2.28
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% N/A
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
210 Javier Sanoja 3/3 PIT @ MIA SS
RHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.96
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% 1
PIT @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
211 Max Clark 3/3 CLE @ DET CF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 23%
ERA 3.85
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% 1
CLE @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
212 Nick Sogard 3/3 BOS @ TOR 2B
S vs RHP
Good 71%
ERA 2.28
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% 1
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
213 Tommy Pham
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CIN @ CWS PH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.60
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% N/A
CIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
214 Aaron Judge
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SEA @ NYY
RHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.31
Runs Batted In 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% N/A
SEA @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
215 Bryan Reynolds 3/3 PIT @ MIA LF
S vs RHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 3.61
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
PIT @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
216 Agustin Ramirez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 PIT @ MIA DH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.96
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
PIT @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
217 Ceddanne Rafaela 3/3 BOS @ TOR CF
RHB vs RHP
Good 71%
ERA 2.28
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
218 Giancarlo Stanton
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SEA @ NYY PH
RHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.31
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
SEA @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
219 Josh Naylor
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SEA @ NYY 1B
LHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.79
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
SEA @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
220 Trent Grisham 3/3 SEA @ NYY CF
LHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.31
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 2
SEA @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
W
221 Abimelec Ortiz 3/3 CHC @ WSH
LHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 3.60
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
222 Brett Bateman 3/3 BOS @ TOR RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.38
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 2
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
W
223 Cole Young 3/3 SEA @ NYY 2B
LHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.79
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
SEA @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
224 Julio Rodriguez 3/3 SEA @ NYY CF
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.79
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
SEA @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
225 Nathan Lukes 3/3 BOS @ TOR RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.38
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 201–225 of 237 plays