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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 29 – Aug 11 →
Wins
8
Losses
24
Push
7
Win %
25%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-11 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
325
Total Found
237
Shown
237
Actionable
36
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Jackson Merrill ELITE 3/3 MIL @ SD CF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 2.84
 Home Runs 0.5 +800 138.9 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 11.1% 88.9% 0
MIL @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
2 Jackson Merrill ELITE 3/3 MIL @ SD CF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 2.84
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +269 122.9 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 27.1% 72.9% 1
MIL @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
3 Masyn Winn ELITE 3/3 PHI @ STL
RHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.65
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +230 119.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 30.3% 69.7% 1
PHI @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
W
4 Daylen Lile ELITE 3/3 CHC @ WSH
LHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 3.60
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +203 117.0 1, 1, 3
3/3
100.0%
 33.0% 67.0% 0
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
5 Munetaka Murakami ELITE 3/3 CIN @ CWS 1B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.60
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +173 113.4 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 36.6% 63.4% 0
CIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
6 Tyler Soderstrom ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ OAK
LHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 2.65
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +164 112.1 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 37.9% 62.1% N/A
TB @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
7 Chandler Simpson ELITE 3/3 TB @ OAK LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.56
 Hits 1.5 +156 110.9 2, 4, 2
3/3
100.0%
 39.1% 60.9% 2
TB @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
8 Michael Massey ELITE 3/3 KC @ LAD 2B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 12.00
 Hits 0.5 -115 96.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 53.5% 46.5% 0
KC @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
9 Nathan Church ELITE 3/3 PHI @ STL CF
LHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.65
 Hits 0.5 -130 93.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 56.5% 43.5% 0
PHI @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
L
10 Colton Cowser ELITE 3/3 BAL @ MIN
LHB vs RHP
Average 69%
ERA 4.45
 Hits 0.5 -133 92.9 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 57.1% 42.9% 0
BAL @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
11 Andres Chaparro ELITE 3/3 CHC @ WSH
RHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 3.60
 Hits 0.5 -145 90.8 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 59.2% 40.8% 0
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
12 Noelvi Marte ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 CIN @ CWS TBD Hits 0.5 -150 90.0 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.0% 40.0% N/A
CIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
13 Andres Gimenez 3/3 BOS @ TOR SS
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.38
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 90.0 1, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
 10.0% 56.7% 0
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
14 Jake Bauers ELITE 3/3 MIL @ SD 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.07
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% 0
MIL @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
15 Munetaka Murakami ELITE 3/3 CIN @ CWS 1B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.60
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% 1
CIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
16 Jackson Merrill ELITE 3/3 MIL @ SD CF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 2.84
 Hits 0.5 -157 88.9 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 61.1% 38.9% 2
MIL @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
17 Jac Caglianone ELITE 3/3 KC @ LAD RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 12.00
 Hits 0.5 -160 88.5 2, 1, 4
3/3
100.0%
 61.5% 38.5% 2
KC @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
W
18 Daylen Lile ELITE 3/3 CHC @ WSH
LHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 3.60
 Hits 0.5 -165 87.7 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 62.3% 37.7% 0
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
19 Cam Smith
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 HOU @ SF RF TBD Home Runs 0.5 +700 87.5 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 12.5% 54.2% 0
HOU @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
L
20 Justin Crawford ELITE 3/3 PHI @ STL CF
LHB vs RHP
Average 38%
ERA 3.63
 Hits 0.5 -172 86.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 63.2% 36.8% 0
PHI @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
L
21 Wade Meckler ELITE 3/3 TEX @ LAA LF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 0.00
 Hits 0.5 -176 86.2 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 63.8% 36.2% 1
TEX @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
W
22 Angel Martinez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CLE @ DET PH
S vs RHP
ERA 4.01
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 85.7 0, 6, 2
2/3
66.7%
 14.3% 52.4% 0
CLE @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
23 CJ Abrams ELITE 3/3 CHC @ WSH
LHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 3.60
 Hits 0.5 -185 85.1 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 64.9% 35.1% 1
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
24 Francisco Alvarez ELITE 3/3 NYM @ ATL C
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.14
 Hits 0.5 -185 85.1 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 64.9% 35.1% 0
NYM @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
25 Mauricio Dubon ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 NYM @ ATL SS
RHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 3.51
 Hits 0.5 -190 84.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 65.5% 34.5% 0
NYM @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 1–25 of 237 plays
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