Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-12 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

332

Total Found

205

Shown

205

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TOR	C	Ranger Suarez RHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.32	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	BOS @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
27	Henry Bolte	3/3	TB @ OAK		Drew Rasmussen RHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.75	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	TB @ ATH 3:05 PM ET Final L
28	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ STL	DH	Kyle Leahy LHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 3.45	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	PHI @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final L
29	Matt Olson	3/3	NYM @ ATL	1B	Zac Thornton LHB vs LHP ERA 2.52	Home Runs	0.5	+300	75.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
30	Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CIN @ CWS		TBD	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	N/A	CIN @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final
31	Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ ATL	RF	Tyler Mahle LHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 4.83	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	2	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final W
32	Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ WSH	LF	Jackson Kent S vs LHP	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	1, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	1	CHC @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
33	Ivan Herrera	3/3	PHI @ STL	DH	Zack Wheeler RHB vs RHP Average 68% ERA 2.69	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	0, 2, 4	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	1	PHI @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final L
34	Jackson Merrill	3/3	MIL @ SD	CF	Dustin May LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.30	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	1	MIL @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final/11 L
35	Nolan Arenado	3/3	COL @ ARI	3B	Ryan Feltner RHB vs RHP ERA 5.71	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	COL @ ARI 3:40 PM ET Final L
36	Royce Lewis	3/3	BAL @ MIN	1B	Shane Baz RHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 3.76	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	2	BAL @ MIN 1:40 PM ET Final W
37	Trent Grisham	3/3	SEA @ NYY	CF	Bryce Miller LHB vs RHP ERA 3.08	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	3	SEA @ NYY 7:00 PM ET Final W
38	Ty France	3/3	MIL @ SD	1B	Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.30	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	2	MIL @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final/11 W
39	Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ DET	PH	Framber Valdez S vs LHP Weak 29% ERA 4.17	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	3	CLE @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final W
40	Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ STL	2B	Kyle Leahy LHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 3.45	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	PHI @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final L
41	Jackson Holliday	3/3	BAL @ MIN		Zebby Matthews LHB vs RHP ERA 5.23	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	BAL @ MIN 1:40 PM ET Final L
42	Eliezer Alfonzo ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	KC @ LAD		Daniel Lynch IV S vs LHP ERA 2.45	Runs Batted In	0.5	+255	71.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	28.2%	38.5%	N/A	KC @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final
43	Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ LAD	RF	Eric Lauer LHB vs LHP ERA 4.89	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	KC @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
44	Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ OAK	3B	Jack Perkins RHB vs RHP ERA 7.04	Runs Batted In	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	TB @ ATH 3:05 PM ET Final L
45	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ WSH		David Peterson S vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.35	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	N/A	CHC @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final
46	Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ DET	LF	Framber Valdez LHB vs LHP Weak 29% ERA 4.17	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	CLE @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final L
47	Brian Serven ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ OAK		Drew Rasmussen RHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.75	Runs Batted In	0.5	+230	69.7	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	0	TB @ ATH 3:05 PM ET Final L
48	Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ SF	DH	TBD	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	0	HOU @ SF 3:45 PM ET Final L
49	Kyle Stowers ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ MIA		Carmen Mlodzinski LHB vs RHP Average 51% ERA 3.51	Runs Batted In	0.5	+230	69.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	N/A	PIT @ MIA 6:40 PM ET Final
50	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ WSH	DH	Jackson Kent RHB vs LHP	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	3	CHC @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final W

Showing 26–50 of 205 plays

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