Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-14 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

329

Total Found

197

Shown

197

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
101	Ryan McMahon	3/3	NYY @ TOR	3B	Shane Bieber LHB vs RHP ERA 5.48	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0	NYY @ TOR 7:15 PM ET Final L
102	Yandy Diaz	3/3	BAL @ TB	DH	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0	BAL @ TB 7:10 PM ET Final L
103	Jake Rogers ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BOS @ PIT		Bubba Chandler RHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 4.26	Hits	0.5	-159	38.6	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	61.4%	5.3%	N/A	BOS @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final
104	Brett Sullivan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SF	C	Landen Roupp LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.22	Hits	0.5	-160	38.5	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	61.5%	5.1%	2	COL @ SF 10:15 PM ET Final W
105	Dylan Beavers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ TB		Steven Matz LHB vs LHP Average 46% ERA 5.46	Hits	0.5	-160	38.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	61.5%	5.1%	2	BAL @ TB 7:10 PM ET Final W
106	Jordan Lawlar ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ARI @ ATL	CF	TBD	Hits	0.5	-160	38.5	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	61.5%	5.1%	N/A	ARI @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final
107	Joey Bart ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ARI @ ATL		TBD	Hits	0.5	-164	37.9	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.1%	4.5%	N/A	ARI @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final
108	Tommy Troy ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ARI @ ATL		TBD	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	N/A	ARI @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final
109	Abimelec Ortiz	3/3	WSH @ NYM		Robert Stock LHB vs RHP	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	WSH @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
110	Austin Hays ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ CLE	DH	Gavin Williams RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.55	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	N/A	SD @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final
111	Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ PIT	3B	Bubba Chandler RHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 4.26	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	5, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	BOS @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
112	Dansby Swanson	3/3	STL @ CHC	SS	Matthew Liberatore RHB vs LHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.15	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	STL @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final L
113	Harry Ford ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ NYM		Robert Stock RHB vs RHP	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	N/A	WSH @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final
114	Jared Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ NYM		Andrew Alvarez LHB vs LHP ERA 3.76	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	1	WSH @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
115	Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ARI @ ATL	SS	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	ARI @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
116	Luis Urias ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ TOR		Gerrit Cole RHB vs RHP ERA 3.35	Hits	0.5	-174	36.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.5%	3.2%	N/A	NYY @ TOR 7:15 PM ET Final
117	Roman Anthony ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BOS @ PIT	DH	Bubba Chandler LHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 4.26	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	N/A	BOS @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final
118	Will Smith ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAD	C	Robert Gasser RHB vs LHP ERA 4.57	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	N/A	MIL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final
119	Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	MIL @ LAD	LF	Robert Gasser RHB vs LHP ERA 4.57	Hits	0.5	-179	35.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	64.2%	2.5%	1	MIL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
120	Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ CHC	C	Matthew Liberatore RHB vs LHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.15	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	0	STL @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final L
121	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ CLE	CF	Gavin Williams LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.55	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	0	SD @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final L
122	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ HOU	LF	Peter Lambert RHB vs RHP ERA 3.09	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	0	SEA @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final/10 L
123	Alex Bregman	3/3	STL @ CHC	DH	Matthew Liberatore RHB vs LHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.15	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	0, 7, 1	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	0	STL @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final L
124	Eugenio Suarez	3/3	MIA @ CIN	DH	Sandy Alcantara RHB vs RHP Good 75% ERA 3.52	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	4, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	1	MIA @ CIN 6:10 PM ET Final L
125	Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIA @ CIN		Sandy Alcantara LHB vs RHP Good 75% ERA 3.52	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	N/A	MIA @ CIN 6:10 PM ET Final

Showing 101–125 of 197 plays

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