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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 14 →
Wins
0
Losses
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Win %
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Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-14 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
329
Total Found
197
Shown
197
Actionable
8
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
126 Zack Gelof 3/3 TEX @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.46
Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 34.6 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% 0
TEX @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
127 Lawrence Butler 3/3 TEX @ OAK
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.46
Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% 1
TEX @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
128 Marcell Ozuna
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ PIT
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.17
Hits 1.5 +500 33.3 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% N/A
BOS @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
129 Mike Trout 3/3 KC @ LAA DH
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 4.41
Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% 0
KC @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
130 Mookie Betts 3/3 MIL @ LAD SS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.57
Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% 1
MIL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
131 Blaze Alexander
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BAL @ TB
RHB vs LHP
Average 46%
ERA 5.46
Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
66.7% 0.0% N/A
BAL @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
132 Daylen Lile 3/3 WSH @ NYM
LHB vs RHP
Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 32.6 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
17.4% 15.9% 0
WSH @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
133 Josh Lowe 3/3 KC @ LAA RF
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 4.41
Hits 1.5 +475 32.6 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
17.4% 15.9% 1
KC @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
134 Salvador Perez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 KC @ LAA DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 7.20
Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 32.6 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
17.4% 15.9% N/A
KC @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
135 Taylor Walls 3/3 BAL @ TB SS TBD Hits 1.5 +475 32.6 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
17.4% 15.9% 1
BAL @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
136 Gary Sanchez 3/3 MIL @ LAD PH
RHB vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.65
Hits 1.5 +450 31.8 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
18.2% 15.2% 0
MIL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
137 Griffin Conine 3/3 MIA @ CIN RF
LHB vs RHP
Average 65%
ERA 2.61
Hits 1.5 +450 31.8 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
18.2% 15.2% 0
MIA @ CIN
6:10 PM ET
Final
L
138 Joey Ortiz 3/3 MIL @ LAD 3B
RHB vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.65
Hits 1.5 +450 31.8 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
18.2% 15.2% 1
MIL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
139 Richie Palacios 3/3 BAL @ TB PH TBD Hits 1.5 +450 31.8 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
18.2% 15.2% 2
BAL @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
140 Spencer Torkelson 3/3 CWS @ DET 1B TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +450 31.8 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
18.2% 15.2% 0
CHW @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
141 Austin Hays
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SD @ CLE DH
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.55
Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% N/A
SD @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
142 Freddy Fermin
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SD @ CLE C
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.55
Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% 0
SD @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
143 Jorbit Vivas
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 WSH @ NYM
LHB vs RHP
Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% 1
WSH @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
144 Leody Taveras
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BAL @ TB
S vs LHP
Average 46%
ERA 5.46
Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% 0
BAL @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
145 Jahmai Jones
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ PIT DH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.26
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% N/A
BOS @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
146 Kazuma Okamoto 3/3 NYY @ TOR 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.35
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% 1
NYY @ TOR
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
147 Luis Campusano 3/3 SD @ CLE C
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.55
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% 2
SD @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
148 Luis Rengifo 3/3 SD @ CLE
S vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.55
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% 1
SD @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
149 Ryan McMahon 3/3 NYY @ TOR 3B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.48
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% 1
NYY @ TOR
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
150 Angel Martinez 3/3 SD @ CLE PH
S vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.37
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% 0
SD @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 126–150 of 197 plays