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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 14 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-14 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
329
Total Found
197
Shown
197
Actionable
8
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
176 Dylan Crews 3/3 WSH @ NYM
RHB vs RHP
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 0
WSH @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
177 Henry Bolte 3/3 TEX @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.46
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 0
TEX @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
178 Ivan Herrera 3/3 STL @ CHC DH
RHB vs RHP
Good 72%
ERA 2.86
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
STL @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
L
179 Liam Hicks
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIA @ CIN
LHB vs RHP
Average 65%
ERA 2.61
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% N/A
MIA @ CIN
6:10 PM ET
Final
180 Brady House 3/3 WSH @ NYM
RHB vs RHP
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 2
WSH @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
181 Cole Carrigg 3/3 COL @ SF CF
S vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 4.22
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
COL @ SF
10:15 PM ET
Final
L
182 Lawrence Butler 3/3 TEX @ OAK
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.46
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
TEX @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
183 Ronny Simon
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BOS @ PIT RF
S vs LHP
ERA 3.17
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
BOS @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
184 Steven Kwan 3/3 SD @ CLE LF
LHB vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.37
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
SD @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
185 Gleyber Torres 3/3 CWS @ DET TBD Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 2
CHW @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
186 Kevin McGonigle 3/3 CWS @ DET 3B TBD Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 1
CHW @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
187 Masataka Yoshida 3/3 BOS @ PIT
LHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.26
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 2
BOS @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
188 Francisco Lindor 3/3 WSH @ NYM SS
S vs LHP
ERA 3.76
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 1
WSH @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
189 Jonathan Aranda 3/3 BAL @ TB 1B TBD Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 1
BAL @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
190 Junior Caminero 3/3 BAL @ TB 3B TBD Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 0
BAL @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
191 Luis Garcia Jr.
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 WSH @ NYM
LHB vs RHP
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% N/A
WSH @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
192 Shohei Ohtani 3/3 MIL @ LAD DH
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.57
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 0
MIL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
193 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3/3 NYY @ TOR DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.35
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 1
NYY @ TOR
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
194 Ceddanne Rafaela
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BOS @ PIT CF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.26
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% N/A
BOS @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
195 Michael Harris II 3/3 ARI @ ATL CF TBD Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 1
ARI @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
196 Osleivis Basabe 3/3 COL @ SF PH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 6.63
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 2
COL @ SF
10:15 PM ET
Final
W
197 Ronald Acuna Jr. 3/3 ARI @ ATL RF TBD Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
ARI @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 176–197 of 197 plays
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