Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-15 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

332

Total Found

193

Shown

193

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Brooks Lee	3/3	PHI @ MIN	3B	Jesús Luzardo S vs LHP Ace 90% ERA 3.32	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	1	PHI @ MIN 7:10 PM ET Final L
27	Luis Campusano	3/3	SD @ CLE	C	Joey Cantillo RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.91	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	0	SD @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final L
28	Adam Frazier ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ LAA		Randy Dobnak LHB vs RHP ERA 2.00	Runs Batted In	0.5	+377	79.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	21.0%	45.7%	0	KC @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
29	Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ TOR	CF	Braydon Fisher LHB vs RHP ERA 3.54	Home Runs	0.5	+375	78.9	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	21.1%	45.6%	0	NYY @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
30	Brett Bateman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TOR	RF	Cam Schlittler LHB vs RHP Ace 95% ERA 2.21	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	2	NYY @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final W
31	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ TB		Ian Seymour LHB vs LHP ERA 4.08	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	4, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	1	BAL @ TB 6:10 PM ET Final/10 L
32	Royce Lewis	3/3	PHI @ MIN	1B	Jesús Luzardo RHB vs LHP Ace 90% ERA 3.32	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	1	PHI @ MIN 7:10 PM ET Final L
33	Alan Roden ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ MIN	LF	Jesús Luzardo LHB vs LHP Ace 90% ERA 3.32	Runs Batted In	0.5	+325	76.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	23.5%	43.1%	N/A	PHI @ MIN 7:10 PM ET Final
34	Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TOR	C	Cam Schlittler RHB vs RHP Ace 95% ERA 2.21	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	1	NYY @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
35	Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ PIT	3B	Jared Jones RHB vs RHP ERA 5.03	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	0, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	1	BOS @ PIT 7:15 PM ET Final L
36	Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIA @ CIN		Ryan Gusto LHB vs RHP ERA 4.78	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	N/A	MIA @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final
37	Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIN	C	Jesús Luzardo RHB vs LHP Ace 90% ERA 3.32	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	1	PHI @ MIN 7:10 PM ET Final L
38	Edgar Quero ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ DET		Troy Melton S vs RHP ERA 1.46	Runs Batted In	0.5	+314	75.8	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	24.2%	42.5%	N/A	CHW @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final
39	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ NYM		Sean Manaea LHB vs LHP ERA 4.13	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	WSH @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final L
40	Isaac Paredes	3/3	SEA @ HOU	DH	Emerson Hancock RHB vs RHP Average 42% ERA 3.35	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	3	SEA @ HOU 7:10 PM ET Final W
41	Jeff McNeil ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ OAK		MacKenzie Gore LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.43	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	4, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	TEX @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
42	Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ LAA	RF	Reid Detmers LHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 4.00	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	1	KC @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
43	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ CLE	3B	Joey Cantillo RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.91	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	SD @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final L
44	Mike Trout	3/3	KC @ LAA	DH	Randy Dobnak RHB vs RHP ERA 2.00	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	1, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	1	KC @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
45	Carson Benge	3/3	WSH @ NYM	RF	Brad Lord LHB vs RHP ERA 3.79	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	WSH @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final L
46	Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RF	Hayden Wesneski LHB vs RHP ERA 3.86	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	2	SEA @ HOU 7:10 PM ET Final W
47	Jonny DeLuca	3/3	BAL @ TB	CF	Kyle Bradish RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.69	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	0, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	BAL @ TB 6:10 PM ET Final/10 L
48	Osleivis Basabe	3/3	COL @ SF	PH	Michael Lorenzen RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 6.83	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	COL @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
49	Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ DET	DH	Troy Melton LHB vs RHP ERA 1.46	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	CHW @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final L
50	Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ TOR	CF	Braydon Fisher LHB vs RHP ERA 3.54	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	NYY @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L

Showing 26–50 of 193 plays

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