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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 16 →
Wins
0
Losses
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Win %
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Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-16 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
325
Total Found
194
Shown
194
Actionable
11
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
76 Dalton Rushing
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIL @ LAD PH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.60
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
MIL @ LAD
4:10 PM ET
Final
77 Endy Rodriguez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ PIT
S vs LHP
ERA 4.54
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
BOS @ PIT
1:35 PM ET
Final
78 Eddys Leonard
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 COL @ SF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.54
Hits 0.5 -143 41.2 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
58.8% 7.8% N/A
COL @ SF
4:05 PM ET
Final
79 Braden Montgomery 3/3 CWS @ DET RF
S vs RHP
ERA 4.09
Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 40.0 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
10.0% 23.3% 0
CHW @ DET
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
80 Joey Ortiz 3/3 MIL @ LAD 3B
RHB vs LHP
Good 78%
ERA 2.91
Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 40.0 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
10.0% 23.3% 0
MIL @ LAD
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
81 Xander Bogaerts 3/3 SD @ CLE SS
RHB vs RHP
Weak 23%
ERA 3.97
Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 40.0 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
10.0% 23.3% 1
SD @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
82 Edwin Arroyo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIA @ CIN
S vs RHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 3.17
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% N/A
MIA @ CIN
1:40 PM ET
Final
83 Brian Serven
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 TEX @ OAK
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.05
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% N/A
TEX @ ATH
4:05 PM ET
Final
84 Kyle Manzardo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SD @ CLE
LHB vs RHP
Average 61%
ERA 3.44
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% N/A
SD @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final
85 Kyle Stowers
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIA @ CIN
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.04
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 2, 0, 4
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% N/A
MIA @ CIN
1:40 PM ET
Final
86 Petey Halpin
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SD @ CLE CF
LHB vs RHP
Average 61%
ERA 3.44
Hits 0.5 -157 38.9 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.1% 5.6% N/A
SD @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final
87 Alejandro Kirk 3/3 NYY @ TOR C
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.60
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
NYY @ TOR
1:37 PM ET
Final/10
L
88 Andruw Monasterio 3/3 BOS @ PIT PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.77
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
BOS @ PIT
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
89 Luis Campusano
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SD @ CLE C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 23%
ERA 3.97
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% N/A
SD @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final
90 Jake Rogers
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ PIT
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.77
Hits 0.5 -159 38.6 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.4% 5.3% N/A
BOS @ PIT
1:35 PM ET
Final
91 Brett Sullivan 3/3 COL @ SF C
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.58
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% 1
COL @ SF
4:05 PM ET
Final
W
92 Dylan Beavers 3/3 BAL @ TB
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 5.33
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% 0
BAL @ TB
12:15 PM ET
Final
L
93 Jordan Lawlar
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ARI @ ATL CF
RHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 3.92
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% N/A
ARI @ ATL
1:35 PM ET
Final
94 Tommy Troy
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ARI @ ATL
RHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 3.92
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% N/A
ARI @ ATL
1:35 PM ET
Final
95 Andrew Benintendi 3/3 CWS @ DET DH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.09
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
CHW @ DET
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
96 Brady House 3/3 WSH @ NYM
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.73
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
WSH @ NYM
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
97 Brendan Donovan 3/3 SEA @ HOU
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.51
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
SEA @ HOU
7:20 PM ET
Final
L
98 Drew Gilbert
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 COL @ SF CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.54
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 1
COL @ SF
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
99 Troy Johnston
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 COL @ SF 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.58
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
COL @ SF
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
100 Luis Urias
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYY @ TOR
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.60
Hits 0.5 -174 36.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.5% 3.2% N/A
NYY @ TOR
1:37 PM ET
Final/10
Showing 76–100 of 194 plays