Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-16 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

325

Total Found

194

Shown

194

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
126	Jahmai Jones ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ PIT	DH	Lake Bachar RHB vs RHP ERA 3.77	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	N/A	BOS @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final
127	Josh Bell	3/3	PHI @ MIN	DH	Andrew Painter S vs RHP ERA 6.04	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	1	PHI @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
128	Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ CLE	C	Tanner Bibee RHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 3.97	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	N/A	SD @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final
129	Tim Tawa	3/3	ARI @ ATL	1B	Bryce Elder RHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 3.92	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	0	ARI @ ATL 1:35 PM ET Final L
130	Ben Malgeri	3/3	CWS @ DET	RF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	0	CHW @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final L
131	Joey Ortiz	3/3	MIL @ LAD	3B	Tarik Skubal RHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.91	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	0	MIL @ LAD 4:10 PM ET Final L
132	Josh Lowe	3/3	KC @ LAA	RF	Noah Cameron LHB vs LHP Average 42% ERA 4.02	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	0	KC @ LAA 4:07 PM ET Final L
133	Michael Massey	3/3	KC @ LAA	2B	Ryan Johnson LHB vs RHP ERA 5.75	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 3, 0	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	3	KC @ LAA 4:07 PM ET Final W
134	Tommy Pham ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ DET	PH	Drew Anderson RHB vs RHP ERA 4.09	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	N/A	CHW @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final
135	Aaron Judge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ TOR		Dylan Cease RHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.37	Runs Batted In	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	N/A	NYY @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final/10
136	Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ DET	RF	Drew Anderson S vs RHP ERA 4.09	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 3, 0	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	1	CHW @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final L
137	Brayan Rocchio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ CLE	SS	Casey Mize S vs RHP Average 61% ERA 3.44	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	SD @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final L
138	Christian Koss	3/3	COL @ SF	SS	Gabriel Hughes RHB vs RHP ERA 6.54	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	1	COL @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
139	Ernie Clement	3/3	NYY @ TOR	2B	Ryan Weathers RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.60	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	NYY @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final/10 L
140	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ TB		Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 5.33	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 4, 0	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	BAL @ TB 12:15 PM ET Final L
141	Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ CIN		Nick Lodolo LHB vs LHP ERA 5.04	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	N/A	MIA @ CIN 1:40 PM ET Final
142	Max Kepler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ ATL		Bryce Elder LHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 3.92	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	1	ARI @ ATL 1:35 PM ET Final L
143	Royce Lewis	3/3	PHI @ MIN	1B	Andrew Painter RHB vs RHP ERA 6.04	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	1	PHI @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
144	Alejandro Kirk	3/3	NYY @ TOR	C	Ryan Weathers RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 3.60	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	NYY @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final/10 L
145	Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ PIT	3B	Lake Bachar RHB vs RHP ERA 3.77	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	BOS @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final L
146	Denzer Guzman	3/3	KC @ LAA	3B	Noah Cameron RHB vs LHP Average 42% ERA 4.02	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	KC @ LAA 4:07 PM ET Final L
147	Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ DET	3B	Drew Anderson RHB vs RHP ERA 4.09	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 4, 0	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	CHW @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final L
148	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	SD @ CLE	1B	Casey Mize LHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 3.44	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 3, 0	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	SD @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final L
149	Ronny Simon ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ PIT	RF	Patrick Sandoval S vs LHP ERA 4.54	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	N/A	BOS @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final
150	Ryan Jeffers	3/3	PHI @ MIN	C	Andrew Painter RHB vs RHP ERA 6.04	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	PHI @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 126–150 of 194 plays

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