Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-16 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

325

Total Found

194

Shown

194

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
151	Willi Castro	3/3	COL @ SF		Blade Tidwell S vs RHP ERA 3.58	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	COL @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
152	Abimelec Ortiz	3/3	WSH @ NYM		Christian Scott LHB vs RHP ERA 3.73	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	WSH @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
153	Brady House	3/3	WSH @ NYM		Christian Scott RHB vs RHP ERA 3.73	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	WSH @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
154	Brandon Marsh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIN	PH	Dean Kremer LHB vs RHP ERA 5.22	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	PHI @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
155	Dansby Swanson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ CHC	SS	Hunter Dobbins RHB vs RHP ERA 3.67	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	STL @ CHC 3:00 PM ET Final L
156	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ NYM		Christian Scott LHB vs RHP ERA 3.73	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	WSH @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
157	Drew Gilbert ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SF	CF	Gabriel Hughes LHB vs RHP ERA 6.54	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	COL @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
158	Giancarlo Stanton ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ TOR	PH	Dylan Cease RHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.37	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	NYY @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final/10
159	Jeff McNeil	3/3	TEX @ OAK		Cody Bradford LHB vs LHP ERA 3.05	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 4, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	TEX @ ATH 4:05 PM ET Final L
160	Liam Hicks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ TB	C	Trevor Rogers LHB vs LHP Average 34% ERA 4.14	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	BAL @ TB 12:15 PM ET Final
161	Liam Hicks ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIA @ CIN		Nick Lodolo LHB vs LHP ERA 5.04	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	MIA @ CIN 1:40 PM ET Final
162	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	CWS @ DET	1B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	CHW @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final L
163	Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIN		Andrew Painter LHB vs RHP ERA 6.04	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	PHI @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
164	Troy Johnston ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SF	1B	Blade Tidwell LHB vs RHP ERA 3.58	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	COL @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
165	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ PIT	RF	Lake Bachar LHB vs RHP ERA 3.77	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	3, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	BOS @ PIT 1:35 PM ET Final L
166	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ CHC	1B	Edward Cabrera LHB vs RHP Average 35% ERA 5.68	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	3	STL @ CHC 3:00 PM ET Final W
167	Brendan Donovan	3/3	SEA @ HOU		Hunter Brown LHB vs RHP ERA 3.51	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	0	SEA @ HOU 7:20 PM ET Final L
168	Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ MIN	RF	Dean Kremer LHB vs RHP ERA 5.22	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	1	PHI @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
169	Edmundo Sosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIN	3B	Dean Kremer RHB vs RHP ERA 5.22	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	1	PHI @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final L
170	Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ LAA	RF	Ryan Johnson LHB vs RHP ERA 5.75	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	0	KC @ LAA 4:07 PM ET Final L
171	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	BAL @ TB	1B	Trevor Rogers LHB vs LHP Average 34% ERA 4.14	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	3, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	0	BAL @ TB 12:15 PM ET Final L
172	Mike Trout	3/3	KC @ LAA	DH	Noah Cameron RHB vs LHP Average 42% ERA 4.02	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	0	KC @ LAA 4:07 PM ET Final L
173	Carson Benge	3/3	WSH @ NYM	RF	Jake Irvin LHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.82	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	WSH @ NYM 1:40 PM ET Final L
174	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ CIN	LF	Nick Lodolo RHB vs LHP ERA 5.04	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	MIA @ CIN 1:40 PM ET Final L
175	Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ HOU	CF	Hunter Brown RHB vs RHP ERA 3.51	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	SEA @ HOU 7:20 PM ET Final L

Showing 151–175 of 194 plays

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