Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-19 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

345

Total Found

209

Shown

209

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
151	Max Kepler ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ BOS		Payton Tolle LHB vs LHP ERA 2.97	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	ARI @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final/10 L
152	Alejandro Kirk	3/3	TOR @ TB	C	Drew Rasmussen RHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.78	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	3, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	2	TOR @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final W
153	Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ COL	CF	Kyle Freeland RHB vs LHP ERA 6.27	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	LAD @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final/10 L
154	Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ MIN	3B	Taj Bradley RHB vs RHP Average 55% ERA 3.98	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	ATL @ MIN 1:40 PM ET Final L
155	Caleb Durbin	3/3	ARI @ BOS	3B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	ARI @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final/10 L
156	Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ CLE	1B	Matt Wilkinson LHB vs LHP	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	SF @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final L
157	Ronny Simon ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	DET @ PIT	RF	Jackson Jobe S vs RHP ERA 6.23	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	N/A	DET @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final
158	Willi Castro	3/3	LAD @ COL		Roki Sasaki S vs RHP ERA 4.46	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	LAD @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final/10 L
159	Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ KC		TBD	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	ATH @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
160	Cody Freeman	3/3	WSH @ TEX	PH	Cade Cavalli RHB vs RHP Average 53% ERA 3.36	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	WSH @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
161	Drew Gilbert	3/3	SF @ CLE	CF	Parker Messick LHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.59	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	SF @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final L
162	Eugenio Suarez	3/3	STL @ CIN	DH	Matthew Liberatore RHB vs LHP Replacement 4% ERA 5.07	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	STL @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
163	Giancarlo Stanton ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ BAL	PH	Chris Bassitt RHB vs RHP ERA 5.11	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	NYY @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final
164	Griffin Conine	3/3	MIA @ PHI	RF	Aaron Nola LHB vs RHP Replacement 8% ERA 5.33	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	MIA @ PHI 6:05 PM ET Final L
165	Isaac Paredes	3/3	LAA @ HOU	DH	Walbert Ureña RHB vs RHP ERA 2.67	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	LAA @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
166	Jeff McNeil	3/3	OAK @ KC		TBD	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	2	ATH @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final W
167	Lawrence Butler	3/3	OAK @ KC		TBD	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	2	ATH @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final W
168	Luis Lara	3/3	SEA @ MIL	PH	Logan Gilbert S vs RHP Average 45% ERA 3.28	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	SEA @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final L
169	Pete Alonso	3/3	NYY @ BAL		Will Warren RHB vs RHP Weak 20% ERA 4.42	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	NYY @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final L
170	Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ COL	DH	Kyle Freeland LHB vs LHP ERA 6.27	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 4, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	LAD @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final/10 L
171	Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ MIN		AJ Smith-Shawver LHB vs RHP ERA 4.15	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	ATL @ MIN 1:40 PM ET Final L
172	Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	OAK @ KC	1B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	3	ATH @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final W
173	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ CIN	1B	Chase Burns LHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.47	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	1	STL @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
174	Blaze Jordan	3/3	STL @ CIN		Chase Burns RHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.47	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	1	STL @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
175	Brendan Donovan	3/3	SEA @ MIL		Dustin May LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.13	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	2	SEA @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final W

Showing 151–175 of 209 plays

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