Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-21 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

343

Total Found

213

Shown

213

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
201	Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BAL	RF	Trevor Rogers RHB vs LHP Average 34% ERA 4.14	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	2	TB @ BAL 7:15 PM ET Final W
202	Alec Bohm	3/3	STL @ PHI	1B	Hunter Dobbins RHB vs RHP ERA 3.67	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	3	STL @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final/10 W
203	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	SF @ BOS	CF	Logan Webb RHB vs RHP Average 43% ERA 3.75	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	0, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	2	SF @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final W
204	Chase DeLauter ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ COL	RF	Tanner Gordon LHB vs RHP ERA 5.75	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	1	CLE @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final L
205	Henry Bolte	3/3	OAK @ HOU		Hayden Wesneski RHB vs RHP ERA 4.23	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	0	ATH @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
206	Nick Gonzales ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ LAD	2B	Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.61	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	2	PIT @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/10 W
207	Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ SEA	2B	Emerson Hancock RHB vs RHP Average 42% ERA 3.37	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	0, 1, 4	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	1	CHC @ SEA 10:10 PM ET Final/10 L
208	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ NYY	DH	Cam Schlittler RHB vs RHP Ace 95% ERA 2.16	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	N/A	TOR @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final
209	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ CWS	3B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	1	NYM @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final L
210	Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	DET @ KC	SS	Troy Melton RHB vs RHP ERA 1.60	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	2	DET @ KC 8:10 PM ET Final W
211	Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ BAL	LF	Trevor Rogers LHB vs LHP Average 34% ERA 4.14	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	1	TB @ BAL 7:15 PM ET Final L
212	Jackson Chourio	3/3	ATL @ MIL	LF	Chris Sale RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.20	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	1, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	1	ATL @ MIL 4:10 PM ET Final L
213	Michael Harris II	3/3	ATL @ MIL	CF	Jacob Misiorowski LHB vs RHP Ace 97% ERA 1.68	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	2	ATL @ MIL 4:10 PM ET Final W

Showing 201–213 of 213 plays

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