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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 22 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-22 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
336
Total Found
210
Shown
210
Actionable
15
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
26 Vinnie Pasquantino 3/3 DET @ KC 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.09
Home Runs 0.5 +500 83.3 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
16.7% 50.0% 0
DET @ KC
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
27 Alex Bregman 3/3 CHC @ SEA DH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.76
Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 82.6 3, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
17.4% 49.3% 1
CHC @ SEA
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
28 Garrett Mitchell 3/3 ATL @ MIL CF
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.12
Hits 1.5 +475 82.6 0, 3, 4
2/3
66.7%
17.4% 49.3% 1
ATL @ MIL
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
29 Sal Stewart 3/3 CIN @ ARI 1B TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 82.6 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
17.4% 49.3% 1
CIN @ ARI
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
30 Tommy Edman
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PIT @ LAD PH
S vs RHP
ERA 4.76
Hits 1.5 +450 81.8 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
18.2% 48.5% 0
PIT @ LAD
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
31 Cody Bellinger ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TOR @ NYY LF
LHB vs RHP
Good 71%
ERA 2.37
Hits 0.5 -220 81.3 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
68.8% 31.3% N/A
TOR @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
32 Patrick Bailey 3/3 CLE @ COL C
S vs RHP
ERA 6.54
Hits 1.5 +400 80.0 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
20.0% 46.7% 1
CLE @ COL
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
33 Luke Keaschall 3/3 MIN @ SD RF
RHB vs RHP
Average 61%
ERA 3.44
Hits 1.5 +380 79.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
20.8% 45.8% 2
MIN @ SD
8:40 PM ET
Final
W
34 Oneil Cruz 3/3 PIT @ LAD CF
LHB vs LHP
Good 78%
ERA 2.91
Home Runs 0.5 +375 78.9 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
21.1% 45.6% 0
PIT @ LAD
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
35 Pete Alonso 3/3 TB @ BAL
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.10
Home Runs 0.5 +375 78.9 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
21.1% 45.6% 0
TB @ BAL
7:05 PM ET
Final/10
L
36 Brett Bateman
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TOR @ NYY RF
LHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.60
Hits 1.5 +360 78.3 3, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
21.7% 44.9% 2
TOR @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
37 Josh Lowe 3/3 LAA @ TEX RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.05
Hits 1.5 +360 78.3 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
21.7% 44.9% 0
LAA @ TEX
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
38 Michael Massey 3/3 DET @ KC 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.09
Hits 1.5 +360 78.3 2, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
21.7% 44.9% 0
DET @ KC
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
39 Jarren Duran 3/3 SF @ BOS PH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.58
Hits 1.5 +340 77.3 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
22.7% 43.9% 0
SF @ BOS
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
40 Pete Crow-Armstrong 3/3 CHC @ SEA CF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.76
Home Runs 0.5 +325 76.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
23.5% 43.1% 0
CHC @ SEA
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
41 Miguel Vargas 3/3 NYM @ CWS 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.73
Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% 1
NYM @ CHW
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
42 Edgar Quero
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYM @ CWS
S vs RHP
ERA 3.73
Runs Batted In 0.5 +314 75.8 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
24.2% 42.5% N/A
NYM @ CHW
7:10 PM ET
Final
43 Christian Vazquez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 OAK @ HOU
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.98
Runs Batted In 0.5 +305 75.3 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
24.7% 42.0% N/A
ATH @ HOU
7:10 PM ET
Final
44 Brandon Marsh 3/3 STL @ PHI PH
LHB vs LHP
ERA 6.43
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
STL @ PHI
6:05 PM ET
Final
L
45 Jose Fermin 3/3 STL @ PHI LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.04
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
STL @ PHI
6:05 PM ET
Final
L
46 Lawrence Butler 3/3 OAK @ HOU
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.51
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 2
ATH @ HOU
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
47 Nick Yorke
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PIT @ LAD
RHB vs LHP
Good 78%
ERA 2.91
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 1
PIT @ LAD
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
48 Pete Alonso 3/3 TB @ BAL
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.10
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 2
TB @ BAL
7:05 PM ET
Final/10
W
49 Vinnie Pasquantino 3/3 DET @ KC 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.09
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
DET @ KC
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
50 Willson Contreras 3/3 SF @ BOS 1B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.58
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 1
SF @ BOS
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 26–50 of 210 plays