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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 22 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-22 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
336
Total Found
210
Shown
210
Actionable
15
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
101 Patrick Bailey 3/3 CLE @ COL C
S vs RHP
ERA 6.54
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 1
CLE @ COL
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
102 Jake Rogers 3/3 NYM @ CWS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.73
Hits 0.5 -159 38.6 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
61.4% 5.3% 0
NYM @ CHW
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
103 Jake Rogers
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SF @ BOS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.58
Hits 0.5 -159 38.6 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.4% 5.3% N/A
SF @ BOS
7:15 PM ET
Final
104 Austin Hays
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIN @ SD DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.22
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% N/A
MIN @ SD
8:40 PM ET
Final
105 Mickey Gasper 3/3 SF @ BOS
S vs RHP
ERA 3.58
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% 1
SF @ BOS
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
106 Tommy Troy
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CIN @ ARI
RHB vs RHP
Weak 13%
ERA 5.13
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% N/A
CIN @ ARI
8:10 PM ET
Final
107 Brendan Donovan
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CHC @ SEA
LHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 5.17
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% N/A
CHC @ SEA
7:15 PM ET
Final
108 Jose Fermin 3/3 STL @ PHI LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.04
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 1
STL @ PHI
6:05 PM ET
Final
L
109 Pete Alonso 3/3 TB @ BAL
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.10
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
TB @ BAL
7:05 PM ET
Final/10
L
110 Vinnie Pasquantino 3/3 DET @ KC 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.09
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
DET @ KC
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
111 Roman Anthony
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SF @ BOS DH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.58
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% N/A
SF @ BOS
7:15 PM ET
Final
112 Will Smith
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 PIT @ LAD C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.76
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% N/A
PIT @ LAD
7:15 PM ET
Final
113 Fernando Tatis Jr. 3/3 MIN @ SD RF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.22
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 1
MIN @ SD
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
114 Kevin McGonigle 3/3 DET @ KC 3B
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.49
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 0
DET @ KC
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
115 Max Muncy 3/3 PIT @ LAD PH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.76
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 0
PIT @ LAD
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
116 Spencer Jones 3/3 TOR @ NYY RF
LHB vs RHP
Good 71%
ERA 2.37
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 0
TOR @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
117 Ty France 3/3 MIN @ SD 1B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.22
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 1
MIN @ SD
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
118 Ildemaro Vargas 3/3 CIN @ ARI PH
S vs RHP
Weak 13%
ERA 5.13
Hits 0.5 -182 35.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
64.5% 2.1% 0
CIN @ ARI
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
119 Gabriel Gonzalez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIN @ SD
RHB vs RHP
Average 61%
ERA 3.44
Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
64.9% 1.8% N/A
MIN @ SD
8:40 PM ET
Final
120 Zach McKinstry 3/3 DET @ KC RF
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.49
Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
64.9% 1.8% 0
DET @ KC
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
121 Javier Sanoja 3/3 WSH @ MIA SS
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 5.82
Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 34.6 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% 0
WSH @ MIA
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
122 William Contreras
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 ATL @ MIL C
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.12
Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 34.6 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% 1
ATL @ MIL
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
123 Jesus Sanchez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 TOR @ NYY
LHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.60
Hits 1.5 +500 33.3 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% N/A
TOR @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
124 Kaelen Culpepper 3/3 MIN @ SD SS
RHB vs RHP
Average 61%
ERA 3.44
Hits 1.5 +500 33.3 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% 1
MIN @ SD
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
125 Blaze Alexander
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TB @ BAL
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.10
Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
66.7% 0.0% N/A
TB @ BAL
7:05 PM ET
Final/10
Showing 101–125 of 210 plays