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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 22 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-22 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
336
Total Found
210
Shown
210
Actionable
15
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
176 Wilyer Abreu 3/3 SF @ BOS RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.58
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
SF @ BOS
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
177 Adley Rutschman 3/3 SF @ BOS C
S vs RHP
ERA 3.58
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 0
SF @ BOS
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
178 Bryan Reynolds 3/3 PIT @ LAD LF
S vs LHP
Good 78%
ERA 2.91
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
PIT @ LAD
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
179 Carson Kelly
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CHC @ SEA C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.76
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% N/A
CHC @ SEA
7:15 PM ET
Final
180 CJ Abrams
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 WSH @ MIA
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 3.17
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% N/A
WSH @ MIA
4:10 PM ET
Final
181 Jac Caglianone
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 DET @ KC RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.09
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
DET @ KC
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
182 Jose Altuve 3/3 OAK @ HOU 2B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.98
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 0
ATH @ HOU
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
183 TJ Rumfield 3/3 CLE @ COL 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 23%
ERA 3.97
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 0
CLE @ COL
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
184 Zach Neto 3/3 LAA @ TEX DH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.05
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 5, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 3
LAA @ TEX
7:05 PM ET
Final
W
185 Carson Benge 3/3 NYM @ CWS RF TBD Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 3
NYM @ CHW
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
186 Dominic Canzone 3/3 CHC @ SEA RF
LHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 5.17
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
CHC @ SEA
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
187 JJ Wetherholt 3/3 STL @ PHI 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.04
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 2
STL @ PHI
6:05 PM ET
Final
W
188 Junior Caminero 3/3 TB @ BAL 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.50
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
TB @ BAL
7:05 PM ET
Final/10
L
189 Kevin McGonigle 3/3 DET @ KC 3B
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.49
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
DET @ KC
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
190 Michael Busch 3/3 CHC @ SEA 1B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.76
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
CHC @ SEA
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
191 Willy Adames 3/3 SF @ BOS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.54
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 2
SF @ BOS
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
192 Ben Rice 3/3 TOR @ NYY DH
LHB vs RHP
Good 71%
ERA 2.37
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 0
TOR @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
193 Carlos Cortes 3/3 OAK @ HOU
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.51
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 1
ATH @ HOU
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
194 Geraldo Perdomo 3/3 CIN @ ARI SS
S vs RHP
Weak 13%
ERA 5.13
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 0
CIN @ ARI
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
195 Josh Naylor 3/3 CHC @ SEA 1B
LHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 5.17
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 0
CHC @ SEA
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
196 Luis Rengifo 3/3 MIN @ SD
S vs RHP
ERA 5.22
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 0
MIN @ SD
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
197 Corbin Carroll 3/3 CIN @ ARI RF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 13%
ERA 5.13
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 2
CIN @ ARI
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
198 Luis García Jr.
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TOR @ NYY 1B
LHB vs RHP
Good 71%
ERA 2.37
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 1
TOR @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
199 Maikel Garcia
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 DET @ KC 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.09
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% N/A
DET @ KC
7:15 PM ET
Final
200 Ceddanne Rafaela 3/3 SF @ BOS CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.58
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 1
SF @ BOS
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 176–200 of 210 plays