Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-23 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

333

Total Found

212

Shown

212

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Pete Alonso ELITE	3/3	TB @ BAL		Nick Martinez RHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.04	Hits	1.5	+300	125.0	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	25.0%	75.0%	0	TB @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final L
2	Brendan Donovan ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ SEA		Shota Imanaga LHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.91	Hits	1.5	+280	123.7	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	26.3%	73.7%	N/A	CHC @ SEA 4:10 PM ET Final
3	Dylan Beavers ELITE	3/3	TB @ BAL		Nick Martinez LHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.04	Runs Batted In	0.5	+250	121.4	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	28.6%	71.4%	0	TB @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final L
4	Mauricio Dubon ELITE	3/3	ATL @ MIL	SS	Shane Drohan RHB vs LHP ERA 4.09	Hits	1.5	+240	120.6	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	29.4%	70.6%	1	ATL @ MIL 7:00 PM ET Final L
5	Brandon Valenzuela ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ NYY	C	Carlos Rodón S vs LHP ERA 3.20	Hits	0.5	-105	98.8	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	51.2%	48.8%	0	TOR @ NYY 1:35 PM ET Final L
6	Nathan Lukes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ NYY	RF	Carlos Rodón LHB vs LHP ERA 3.20	Home Runs	0.5	+1200	92.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	7.7%	59.0%	N/A	TOR @ NYY 1:35 PM ET Final
7	Christian Vazquez ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ HOU		Brady Basso RHB vs LHP ERA 4.32	Hits	0.5	-137	92.2	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	57.8%	42.2%	0	ATH @ HOU 2:10 PM ET Final L
8	Kyle Isbel	3/3	DET @ KC	CF	Jacob Waguespack LHB vs RHP ERA 3.03	Home Runs	0.5	+1100	91.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	8.3%	58.3%	0	DET @ KC 2:10 PM ET Final L
9	Luis Torrens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ CWS	C	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+1000	90.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	0	NYM @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
10	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ CWS	3B	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+850	89.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	10.5%	56.1%	0	NYM @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
11	Brian Serven ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ HOU		Cristian Javier RHB vs RHP ERA 5.98	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	2	ATH @ HOU 2:10 PM ET Final W
12	Jared Young ELITE	3/3	NYM @ CWS		TBD	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	1	NYM @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final W
13	Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ CWS	RF	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+800	88.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	NYM @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
14	Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ SD	2B	Walker Buehler LHB vs RHP ERA 4.56	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	1, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	MIN @ SD 4:10 PM ET Final L
15	Mookie Betts	3/3	PIT @ LAD	SS	Lake Bachar RHB vs RHP ERA 3.59	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	PIT @ LAD 4:10 PM ET Final L
16	Dylan Beavers ELITE	3/3	TB @ BAL		Nick Martinez LHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.04	Hits	0.5	-160	88.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	61.5%	38.5%	0	TB @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final L
17	Dylan Beavers	3/3	TB @ BAL		Nick Martinez LHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.04	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	TB @ BAL 1:35 PM ET Final L
18	Matt McLain	3/3	CIN @ ARI	2B	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 0, 4	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	CIN @ ARI 4:15 PM ET Final L
19	Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ CWS	RF	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	NYM @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
20	Mickey Moniak	3/3	CLE @ COL	RF	Foster Griffin LHB vs LHP Average 49% ERA 3.26	Home Runs	0.5	+600	85.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	CLE @ COL 3:10 PM ET Final L
21	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SEA	DH	Bryce Miller RHB vs RHP ERA 4.01	Home Runs	0.5	+575	85.2	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	14.8%	51.9%	0	CHC @ SEA 4:10 PM ET Final L
22	Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ BOS		Jake Bennett RHB vs LHP ERA 3.34	Home Runs	0.5	+575	85.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.8%	51.9%	0	SF @ BOS 3:15 PM ET Final L
23	Matt McLain	3/3	CIN @ ARI	2B	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	CIN @ ARI 4:15 PM ET Final L
24	Spencer Jones	3/3	TOR @ NYY	RF	José Soriano LHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.52	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	TOR @ NYY 1:35 PM ET Final L
25	David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ MIL	3B	Tyler Mahle LHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 4.25	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	ATL @ MIL 7:00 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 212 plays

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