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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 23 →
Wins
0
Losses
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Win %
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Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-23 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
333
Total Found
212
Shown
212
Actionable
10
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
151 Angel Martinez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CLE @ COL PH
S vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 5.19
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% 2
CLE @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
W
152 Tommy Pham
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYM @ CWS PH
RHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 3.06
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% N/A
NYM @ CHW
2:10 PM ET
Final
153 Aaron Judge
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TOR @ NYY
RHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.52
Runs Batted In 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% N/A
TOR @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
154 Christian Walker 3/3 OAK @ HOU 1B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.32
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
ATH @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
155 Daulton Varsho 3/3 OAK @ HOU
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.32
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
ATH @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
156 Ernie Clement 3/3 TOR @ NYY 2B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.20
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
TOR @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
157 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 3/3 TOR @ NYY PH
LHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.52
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 2
TOR @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
158 Justin Foscue
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 LAA @ TEX PH
RHB vs LHP
Replacement 2%
ERA 5.65
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
LAA @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
L
159 Mookie Betts 3/3 PIT @ LAD SS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.59
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
PIT @ LAD
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
160 Nathan Lukes
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TOR @ NYY RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.20
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% N/A
TOR @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
161 Spencer Jones 3/3 TOR @ NYY RF
LHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.52
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 2
TOR @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
162 Caleb Durbin 3/3 SF @ BOS 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 6.14
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
SF @ BOS
3:15 PM ET
Final
L
163 Miguel Vargas 3/3 NYM @ CWS 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 3.06
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
NYM @ CHW
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
164 Nathaniel Lowe 3/3 CLE @ COL 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 5.19
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
CLE @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
L
165 Ronny Simon
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 PIT @ LAD RF
S vs LHP
ERA 1.97
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% N/A
PIT @ LAD
4:10 PM ET
Final
166 Travis Bazzana 3/3 CLE @ COL 2B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 5.19
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 4, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
CLE @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
L
167 Brandon Lowe
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PIT @ LAD 2B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 1.97
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
PIT @ LAD
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
168 Giancarlo Stanton
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TOR @ NYY PH
RHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.52
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
TOR @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
169 Hector Rodriguez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CIN @ ARI RF TBD Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
CIN @ ARI
4:15 PM ET
Final
L
170 Isaac Paredes 3/3 OAK @ HOU DH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.32
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
ATH @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
171 Jeff McNeil
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 OAK @ HOU
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.98
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
ATH @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
172 Jose Fernandez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CIN @ ARI PH
RHB vs LHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 4.49
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
CIN @ ARI
4:15 PM ET
Final
173 Keibert Ruiz
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 WSH @ MIA
S vs RHP
Weak 24%
ERA 4.00
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
WSH @ MIA
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
174 Lars Nootbaar
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CIN @ ARI LF
LHB vs LHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 4.49
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
CIN @ ARI
4:15 PM ET
Final
L
175 Liam Hicks 3/3 TB @ BAL C
LHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.91
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
TB @ BAL
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 151–175 of 212 plays