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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 23 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-23 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
333
Total Found
212
Shown
212
Actionable
10
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
201 Alex Bregman 3/3 CHC @ SEA DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.01
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 0
CHC @ SEA
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
202 Luis Garcia Jr. 3/3 TOR @ NYY 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.52
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 0
TOR @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
203 Maikel Garcia
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 DET @ KC 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.03
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% N/A
DET @ KC
2:10 PM ET
Final
204 Ceddanne Rafaela 3/3 SF @ BOS CF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 6.14
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 3
SF @ BOS
3:15 PM ET
Final
W
205 Jakob Marsee 3/3 WSH @ MIA DH
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.55
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 1
WSH @ MIA
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
206 Sal Stewart 3/3 CIN @ ARI 1B TBD Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 3, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 2
CIN @ ARI
4:15 PM ET
Final
W
207 Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TOR @ NYY DH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.20
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 0
TOR @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
208 Elly De La Cruz 3/3 CIN @ ARI DH TBD Hits 1.5 +210 17.7 4, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
32.3% 1.1% 1
CIN @ ARI
4:15 PM ET
Final
L
209 Bo Bichette 3/3 NYM @ CWS 3B TBD Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
NYM @ CHW
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
210 Gabriel Moreno 3/3 CIN @ ARI DH
RHB vs LHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 4.49
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
CIN @ ARI
4:15 PM ET
Final
L
211 Jordan Walker 3/3 STL @ PHI RF
RHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.58
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 1
STL @ PHI
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
212 Yordan Alvarez 3/3 OAK @ HOU LF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.32
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 1
ATH @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 201–212 of 212 plays
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