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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 28 →
Wins
0
Losses
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Win %
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Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-28 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
336
Total Found
224
Shown
224
Actionable
12
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
151 Jarren Duran 3/3 BOS @ NYY PH
LHB vs RHP
Ace 95%
ERA 2.04
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
BOS @ NYY
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
152 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 3/3 BOS @ NYY PH
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.41
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
BOS @ NYY
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
153 Justin Foscue 3/3 TEX @ MIL PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.48
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
TEX @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
154 Mookie Betts 3/3 LAD @ DET SS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.73
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
LAD @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
155 Nathan Lukes 3/3 SEA @ TOR RF
LHB vs RHP
Average 42%
ERA 3.57
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
SEA @ TOR
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
156 Royce Lewis 3/3 CWS @ MIN 1B TBD Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
CHW @ MIN
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
157 Caleb Durbin 3/3 BOS @ NYY 3B
RHB vs RHP
Ace 95%
ERA 2.04
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
BOS @ NYY
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
158 George Springer 3/3 SEA @ TOR DH
RHB vs RHP
Average 42%
ERA 3.57
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 4
SEA @ TOR
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
159 Ian Happ 3/3 CIN @ CHC LF
S vs RHP
Weak 13%
ERA 5.43
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
CIN @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
L
160 Isaac Collins 3/3 KC @ CLE LF
S vs RHP
Weak 23%
ERA 4.06
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 2
KC @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
161 Nathaniel Lowe 3/3 KC @ CLE 1B
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.36
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
KC @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
162 Pedro Ramirez 3/3 CIN @ CHC 3B
S vs RHP
Weak 13%
ERA 5.43
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
CIN @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
L
163 Ronny Simon
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 PIT @ STL RF
S vs LHP
ERA 4.38
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% N/A
PIT @ STL
8:15 PM ET
Final
164 Travis Bazzana 3/3 KC @ CLE 2B
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.36
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
KC @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
165 Bryan De La Cruz
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PHI @ LAA LF
RHB vs LHP
Average 51%
ERA 3.44
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
PHI @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
166 Cody Freeman 3/3 TEX @ MIL PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.48
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
TEX @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
167 Eugenio Suarez 3/3 CIN @ CHC DH
RHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 5.39
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
CIN @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
L
168 Giancarlo Stanton
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ NYY PH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.41
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
BOS @ NYY
7:15 PM ET
Final
169 Hector Rodriguez 3/3 CIN @ CHC RF
LHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 5.39
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 3, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 2
CIN @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
W
170 Hunter Goodman 3/3 COL @ ATL C
RHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 3.62
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 3
COL @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
171 Isaac Paredes 3/3 HOU @ NYM DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.80
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
HOU @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
172 Jeff McNeil 3/3 BAL @ OAK
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.42
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
BAL @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
173 Liam Hicks 3/3 SD @ TB C
LHB vs RHP
Average 61%
ERA 3.64
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
SD @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
174 Luis Lara 3/3 TEX @ MIL PH
S vs LHP
ERA 4.45
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
TEX @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
175 Nathan Church 3/3 PIT @ STL CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.46
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
PIT @ STL
8:15 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 151–175 of 224 plays