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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 29 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-29 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
381
Total Found
240
Shown
240
Actionable
8
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
226 Ezequiel Duran 3/3 TEX @ MIL 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.09
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 1
TEX @ MIL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
227 Gleyber Torres 3/3 LAD @ DET
RHB vs LHP
ERA 1.97
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 1
LAD @ DET
1:10 PM ET
Final
L
228 Jonah Heim 3/3 BAL @ OAK
S vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.91
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 1
BAL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
229 Josh Naylor
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SEA @ TOR 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.52
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 2
SEA @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
W
230 Andrew Vaughn
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TEX @ MIL PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.79
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% N/A
TEX @ MIL
7:15 PM ET
Final
231 Maikel Garcia
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 KC @ CLE 3B
RHB vs LHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.26
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% N/A
KC @ CLE
4:10 PM ET
Final
232 Ronald Acuna Jr.
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 COL @ ATL RF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.42
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 1
COL @ ATL
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
233 Ceddanne Rafaela 3/3 BOS @ NYY CF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.20
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 0
BOS @ NYY
1:05 PM ET
Final
L
234 Ceddanne Rafaela 3/3 BOS @ NYY CF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.20
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 0
BOS @ NYY
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
235 Javier Sanoja 3/3 MIA @ WSH SS
RHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.12
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 1
MIA @ WSH
4:05 PM ET
Final/10
L
236 Sal Stewart 3/3 CIN @ CHC 1B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.38
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 2
CIN @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
W
237 Bobby Witt Jr. 3/3 KC @ CLE SS
RHB vs LHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.26
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 1
KC @ CLE
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
238 Chandler Simpson 3/3 SD @ TB LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.56
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 2
SD @ TB
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
239 Jackson Chourio 3/3 TEX @ MIL LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.79
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 4, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 1
TEX @ MIL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
240 Michael Harris II 3/3 COL @ ATL CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.42
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 2
COL @ ATL
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 226–240 of 240 plays
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