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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 30 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-30 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
282
Total Found
183
Shown
183
Actionable
11
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
76 Carter Jensen 3/3 KC @ CLE C
LHB vs LHP
Average 64%
ERA 2.46
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
KC @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
77 Cedric Mullins 3/3 SD @ TB PH
LHB vs LHP
Average 36%
ERA 3.14
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
SD @ TB
1:40 PM ET
Final/11
L
78 Travis Bazzana
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 KC @ CLE 2B
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 5.03
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
KC @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
79 Brett Sullivan
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 COL @ ATL C
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 4.25
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% 1
COL @ ATL
1:35 PM ET
Final/10
W
80 Dylan Beavers 3/3 BAL @ OAK
LHB vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 6.37
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% 0
BAL @ ATH
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
81 Brendan Donovan
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SEA @ TOR
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.16
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% N/A
SEA @ TOR
1:37 PM ET
Final
82 Daylen Lile 3/3 MIA @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 24%
ERA 4.00
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 1
MIA @ WSH
12:15 PM ET
Final
L
83 George Springer 3/3 SEA @ TOR DH
RHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.71
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
SEA @ TOR
1:37 PM ET
Final
L
84 Hector Rodriguez 3/3 CIN @ CHC RF
LHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 3.91
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 3
CIN @ CHC
7:20 PM ET
Final
W
85 Yandy Diaz 3/3 SD @ TB DH
RHB vs LHP
Average 36%
ERA 3.14
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
SD @ TB
1:40 PM ET
Final/11
L
86 Roman Anthony
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 BOS @ NYY DH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.16
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% 2
BOS @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
87 Will Smith
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ DET C
RHB vs LHP
Weak 29%
ERA 4.36
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% N/A
LAD @ DET
1:40 PM ET
Final
88 Coby Mayo 3/3 BAL @ OAK
RHB vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 6.37
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 3
BAL @ ATH
4:05 PM ET
Final
W
89 Dylan Crews 3/3 MIA @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 24%
ERA 4.00
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 0
MIA @ WSH
12:15 PM ET
Final
L
90 Tyler Stephenson 3/3 CIN @ CHC C
RHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 3.91
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 2
CIN @ CHC
7:20 PM ET
Final
W
91 Sal Frelick
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TEX @ MIL RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.61
Hits 0.5 -180 35.7 2, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
64.3% 2.4% 0
TEX @ MIL
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
92 Gabriel Gonzalez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CWS @ MIN TBD Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
64.9% 1.8% N/A
CHW @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
93 Dustin Harris 3/3 SD @ TB LF
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.95
Hits 1.5 +550 34.6 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% 1
SD @ TB
1:40 PM ET
Final/11
L
94 Jackson Chourio 3/3 TEX @ MIL LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.61
Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 34.6 1, 1, 4
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% 1
TEX @ MIL
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
95 Leo Rivas
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SEA @ TOR SS
S vs RHP
ERA 6.16
Hits 1.5 +550 34.6 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% N/A
SEA @ TOR
1:37 PM ET
Final
96 William Contreras
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TEX @ MIL C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.61
Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 34.6 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% N/A
TEX @ MIL
2:10 PM ET
Final
97 Alika Williams
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BAL @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.97
Hits 1.5 +500 33.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% 1
BAL @ ATH
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
98 Colson Montgomery 3/3 CWS @ MIN SS
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.69
Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% 0
CHW @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
99 Jackson Merrill 3/3 SD @ TB CF
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.95
Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% 0
SD @ TB
1:40 PM ET
Final/11
L
100 Max Muncy 3/3 BAL @ OAK
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.97
Hits 1.5 +500 33.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% 1
BAL @ ATH
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 76–100 of 183 plays