Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-30 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

282

Total Found

183

Shown

183

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
151	Vinnie Pasquantino ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CLE	1B	Parker Messick LHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.46	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	KC @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final L
152	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ NYY	1B	Will Warren RHB vs RHP Weak 20% ERA 4.16	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	BOS @ NYY 1:35 PM ET Final L
153	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RF	Will Warren LHB vs RHP Weak 20% ERA 4.16	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	2	BOS @ NYY 1:35 PM ET Final W
154	Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ LAA	RF	Yusei Kikuchi LHB vs LHP Replacement 2% ERA 5.65	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	2	PHI @ LAA 4:07 PM ET Final W
155	Byron Buxton ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ MIN		TBD	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	0, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	N/A	CHW @ MIN 2:10 PM ET Final
156	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	SD @ TB	1B	Robbie Ray LHB vs LHP Average 36% ERA 3.14	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	1	SD @ TB 1:40 PM ET Final/11 L
157	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ TB	3B	Drew Rasmussen RHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.95	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	1	SD @ TB 1:40 PM ET Final/11 L
158	Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ CLE		Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.46	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	1	KC @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final L
159	Ty France	3/3	SD @ TB	1B	Drew Rasmussen RHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.95	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	1	SD @ TB 1:40 PM ET Final/11 L
160	Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ TOR	RF	Max Scherzer LHB vs RHP ERA 6.16	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	SEA @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final L
161	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ WSH	LF	Andrew Alvarez RHB vs LHP ERA 3.47	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	MIA @ WSH 12:15 PM ET Final L
162	Junior Caminero	3/3	SD @ TB	3B	Robbie Ray RHB vs LHP Average 36% ERA 3.14	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	2	SD @ TB 1:40 PM ET Final/11 W
163	Tommy White	3/3	BAL @ OAK		Chris Bassitt RHB vs RHP ERA 4.97	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	0, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	BAL @ ATH 4:05 PM ET Final L
164	Tyler Stephenson	3/3	CIN @ CHC	C	Shota Imanaga RHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.91	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	2	CIN @ CHC 7:20 PM ET Final W
165	Carlos Cortes	3/3	BAL @ OAK		Chris Bassitt LHB vs RHP ERA 4.97	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	0	BAL @ ATH 4:05 PM ET Final L
166	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ MIL	3B	Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.69	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	2	TEX @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final W
167	Gleyber Torres	3/3	LAD @ DET		Tyler Glasnow RHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 2.79	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	1	LAD @ DET 1:40 PM ET Final L
168	Jonah Heim	3/3	BAL @ OAK		Chris Bassitt S vs RHP ERA 4.97	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	0	BAL @ ATH 4:05 PM ET Final L
169	Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ TOR	1B	Max Scherzer LHB vs RHP ERA 6.16	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	0	SEA @ TOR 1:37 PM ET Final L
170	José Ramírez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	KC @ CLE	3B	Seth Lugo S vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.03	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	2	KC @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final W
171	Mauricio Dubon	3/3	COL @ ATL	SS	Mason Adams RHB vs RHP ERA 3.00	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	1	COL @ ATL 1:35 PM ET Final/10 L
172	Steven Kwan	3/3	KC @ CLE	LF	Seth Lugo LHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.03	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	2	KC @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final W
173	Alex Bregman	3/3	CIN @ CHC	DH	Chase Burns RHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.79	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	1	CIN @ CHC 7:20 PM ET Final L
174	Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ MIL	PH	Kumar Rocker RHB vs RHP ERA 4.61	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	0	TEX @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final L
175	Maikel Garcia ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	KC @ CLE	3B	Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.46	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	N/A	KC @ CLE 1:40 PM ET Final

Showing 151–175 of 183 plays

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