Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-31 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

250

Total Found

150

Shown

150

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Luke Keaschall	3/3	DET @ MIN	RF	Jackson Jobe RHB vs RHP ERA 4.63	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	2	DET @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final W
27	Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ TB	2B	Ian Seymour RHB vs LHP ERA 4.21	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	1	NYM @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
28	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ WSH	LF	Will Dion RHB vs LHP ERA 3.38	Home Runs	0.5	+375	78.9	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	21.1%	45.6%	0	MIA @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
29	Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ HOU	DH	Peter Lambert LHB vs RHP ERA 3.66	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	0, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	0	CHW @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
30	Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ LAA	3B	Walbert Ureña RHB vs RHP ERA 2.85	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	0	NYY @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
31	Junior Caminero	3/3	NYM @ TB	3B	Robert Stock RHB vs RHP ERA 5.81	Home Runs	0.5	+350	77.8	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	22.2%	44.4%	0	NYM @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
32	Pete Crow-Armstrong	3/3	MIL @ CHC	CF	Kyle Harrison LHB vs LHP ERA 3.45	Home Runs	0.5	+325	76.5	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	23.5%	43.1%	0	MIL @ CHC 7:40 PM ET Final L
33	Edgar Quero ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ HOU		Peter Lambert S vs RHP ERA 3.66	Runs Batted In	0.5	+314	75.8	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	24.2%	42.5%	N/A	CHW @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final
34	Abimelec Ortiz	3/3	MIA @ WSH		Ryan Gusto LHB vs RHP ERA 3.86	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	MIA @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
35	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	SEA @ BOS	RF	George Kirby LHB vs RHP Weak 27% ERA 4.19	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	SEA @ BOS 6:45 PM ET Final/10 L
36	Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ TEX	C	Gage Jump RHB vs LHP ERA 5.15	Runs Batted In	0.5	+275	73.3	0, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	26.7%	40.0%	0	ATH @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
37	Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ ATL		Bryce Elder LHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 4.11	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	4, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	2	SF @ ATL 6:05 PM ET Final W
38	Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ ATL		Bryce Elder LHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 4.11	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	SF @ ATL 6:05 PM ET Final L
39	Tyler Stephenson	3/3	SD @ CIN	C	Michael King RHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.11	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	SD @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
40	Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	PHI @ ARI	PH	Aaron Nola S vs RHP Replacement 8% ERA 4.93	Runs Batted In	0.5	+258	72.1	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	27.9%	38.7%	0	PHI @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
41	Jorge Mateo	3/3	NYM @ TB	PH	Robert Stock RHB vs RHP ERA 5.81	Runs Batted In	0.5	+250	71.4	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	28.6%	38.1%	0	NYM @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
42	William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CHC	C	Clay Holmes RHB vs RHP Good 72% ERA 2.09	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	MIL @ CHC 7:40 PM ET Final L
43	Brian Serven ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ TEX		Jacob deGrom RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.00	Runs Batted In	0.5	+230	69.7	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	N/A	ATH @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final
44	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	SF @ ATL	RF	Anthony Molina RHB vs RHP ERA 3.77	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	1	SF @ ATL 6:05 PM ET Final L
45	Henry Bolte	3/3	OAK @ TEX		Jacob deGrom RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.00	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	0	ATH @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
46	Nico Hoerner	3/3	MIL @ CHC	2B	Kyle Harrison RHB vs LHP ERA 3.45	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	1	MIL @ CHC 7:40 PM ET Final L
47	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	SD @ CIN	DH	Michael King S vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.11	Hits	1.5	+210	67.7	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	32.3%	34.4%	0	SD @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
48	Jordan Lawlar	3/3	PHI @ ARI	CF	Aaron Nola RHB vs RHP Replacement 8% ERA 4.93	Runs Batted In	0.5	+210	67.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	32.3%	34.4%	0	PHI @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
49	Chandler Simpson	3/3	NYM @ TB	LF	Robert Stock LHB vs RHP ERA 5.81	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	2	NYM @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final W
50	Michael Harris II	3/3	SF @ ATL	CF	Anthony Molina LHB vs RHP ERA 3.77	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	2	SF @ ATL 6:05 PM ET Final W

Showing 26–50 of 150 plays

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