Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-01 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

324

Total Found

190

Shown

190

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ LAA	3B	Grayson Rodriguez RHB vs RHP ERA 6.03	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	0, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	0	NYY @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
27	Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ BOS	DH	Jedixson Paez S vs RHP ERA 18.90	Home Runs	0.5	+350	77.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.2%	44.4%	0	SEA @ BOS 6:45 PM ET Final L
28	Junior Caminero	3/3	NYM @ TB	3B	Sean Manaea RHB vs LHP ERA 4.70	Home Runs	0.5	+350	77.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.2%	44.4%	0	NYM @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
29	Sal Stewart	3/3	SD @ CIN	1B	Randy Vásquez RHB vs RHP Weak 15% ERA 4.02	Home Runs	0.5	+350	77.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.2%	44.4%	0	SD @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
30	Freddie Freeman	3/3	STL @ LAD	1B	Michael McGreevy LHB vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 3.97	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
31	Pete Crow-Armstrong	3/3	MIL @ CHC	CF	Robert Gasser LHB vs LHP ERA 4.57	Home Runs	0.5	+325	76.5	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	23.5%	43.1%	0	MIL @ CHC 7:40 PM ET Final L
32	George Springer	3/3	TOR @ CLE	DH	Gavin Williams RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.81	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 1, 4	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	0	TOR @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final L
33	Edgar Quero ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ HOU		Ronel Blanco S vs RHP ERA 6.59	Runs Batted In	0.5	+314	75.8	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	24.2%	42.5%	N/A	CHW @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final
34	Brady House	3/3	ATL @ WSH		AJ Smith-Shawver RHB vs RHP ERA 7.13	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	ATL @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
35	Cody Freeman	3/3	OAK @ TEX	PH	Brady Basso RHB vs LHP ERA 4.32	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	ATH @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
36	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ WSH		AJ Smith-Shawver S vs RHP ERA 7.13	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	N/A	ATL @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final
37	Liam Hicks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ TB	C	Sean Manaea LHB vs LHP ERA 4.70	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	N/A	NYM @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final
38	Oneil Cruz	3/3	SF @ PIT	CF	Logan Webb LHB vs RHP Average 43% ERA 4.21	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	4	SF @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final W
39	Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ ARI	RF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	4	PHI @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final W
40	Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CHC	C	Robert Gasser RHB vs LHP ERA 4.57	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	MIL @ CHC 7:40 PM ET Final L
41	Jac Caglianone	3/3	MIA @ KC	RF	Tyler Phillips LHB vs RHP ERA 3.43	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	MIA @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
42	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ CIN	3B	Nick Lodolo RHB vs LHP ERA 5.08	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	4, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	SD @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
43	Ty France	3/3	SD @ CIN	1B	Nick Lodolo RHB vs LHP ERA 5.08	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	SD @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
44	Jared Triolo	3/3	SF @ PIT	PH	Logan Webb RHB vs RHP Average 43% ERA 4.21	Runs Batted In	0.5	+260	72.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	SF @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final W
45	Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	PHI @ ARI	PH	Jesús Luzardo S vs LHP Ace 90% ERA 3.02	Runs Batted In	0.5	+258	72.1	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.9%	38.7%	0	PHI @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
46	Eliezer Alfonzo ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	STL @ LAD		Michael McGreevy S vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 3.97	Runs Batted In	0.5	+255	71.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	28.2%	38.5%	N/A	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final
47	Ben Rice ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ LAA	DH	Grayson Rodriguez LHB vs RHP ERA 6.03	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	NYY @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
48	William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CHC	C	Matthew Boyd RHB vs LHP ERA 4.05	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	2	MIL @ CHC 7:40 PM ET Final W
49	Alex Bregman	3/3	MIL @ CHC	DH	Robert Gasser RHB vs LHP ERA 4.57	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	3, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	1	MIL @ CHC 7:40 PM ET Final L
50	Brian Serven ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ TEX		MacKenzie Gore RHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.31	Runs Batted In	0.5	+230	69.7	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	N/A	ATH @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final

Showing 26–50 of 190 plays

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