Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-01 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

324

Total Found

190

Shown

190

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
76	Francisco Alvarez	3/3	NYM @ TB	C	Freddy Peralta RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.96	Hits	0.5	-135	42.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	57.4%	9.2%	0	NYM @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
77	Thomas Saggese	3/3	STL @ LAD	SS	Eric Lauer RHB vs LHP ERA 5.23	Hits	0.5	-137	42.2	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	57.8%	8.9%	2	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
78	Dalton Rushing ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ LAD	PH	Michael McGreevy LHB vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 3.97	Hits	0.5	-140	41.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	58.3%	8.3%	0	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
79	Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ CLE	SS	Gavin Williams LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.81	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	40.9	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	0	TOR @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final L
80	Christian Moore	3/3	NYY @ LAA	2B	Gerrit Cole RHB vs RHP ERA 3.29	Hits	1.5	+1000	40.9	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	1	NYY @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
81	Esmerlyn Valdez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ PIT		Logan Webb RHB vs RHP Average 43% ERA 4.21	Hits	0.5	-145	40.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	59.2%	7.5%	1	SF @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final W
82	Jonah Cox	3/3	SF @ PIT	2B	Paul Skenes RHB vs RHP Weak 25% ERA 3.97	Hits	0.5	-145	40.8	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	59.2%	7.5%	2	SF @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final W
83	Joshua Baez	3/3	STL @ LAD		Eric Lauer RHB vs LHP ERA 5.23	Hits	0.5	-150	40.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	60.0%	6.7%	1	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
84	Jared Young	3/3	NYM @ TB		Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.96	Hits	0.5	-155	39.2	1, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	60.8%	5.9%	0	NYM @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
85	Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ KC		Randy Dobnak LHB vs RHP ERA 2.65	Hits	0.5	-155	39.2	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	60.8%	5.9%	1	MIA @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final W
86	Alejandro Kirk	3/3	TOR @ CLE	C	Gavin Williams RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.81	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0	TOR @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final L
87	Cooper Pratt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CHC	SS	Matthew Boyd RHB vs LHP ERA 4.05	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	1	MIL @ CHC 7:40 PM ET Final L
88	Josh Bell	3/3	DET @ MIN	DH	Troy Melton S vs RHP ERA 2.20	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0	DET @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final L
89	Paul Goldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ LAA	PH	Grayson Rodriguez RHB vs RHP ERA 6.03	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	1	NYY @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
90	Brett Sullivan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ COL	C	Kyle Bradish LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.01	Hits	0.5	-160	38.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	61.5%	5.1%	2	BAL @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final W
91	Dylan Beavers	3/3	BAL @ COL		Gabriel Hughes LHB vs RHP ERA 6.19	Hits	0.5	-160	38.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	61.5%	5.1%	1	BAL @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final W
92	Mickey Gasper ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ BOS		Bryan Woo S vs RHP Average 47% ERA 4.25	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	1	SEA @ BOS 6:45 PM ET Final W
93	Tommy Troy ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ ARI		Jesús Luzardo RHB vs LHP Ace 90% ERA 3.02	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	N/A	PHI @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final
94	Brendan Donovan ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SEA @ BOS		Jedixson Paez LHB vs RHP ERA 18.90	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	N/A	SEA @ BOS 6:45 PM ET Final
95	Cody Freeman	3/3	OAK @ TEX	PH	Brady Basso RHB vs LHP ERA 4.32	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	ATH @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
96	Daylen Lile	3/3	ATL @ WSH		AJ Smith-Shawver LHB vs RHP ERA 7.13	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	4, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	ATL @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
97	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ CLE	3B	Gavin Williams RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.81	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	TOR @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final L
98	Roman Anthony	3/3	SEA @ BOS	DH	Bryan Woo LHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 4.25	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	2	SEA @ BOS 6:45 PM ET Final W
99	Will Smith ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ LAD	C	Michael McGreevy RHB vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 3.97	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	1	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
100	Dylan Crews ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ WSH		AJ Smith-Shawver RHB vs RHP ERA 7.13	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	0	ATL @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L

Showing 76–100 of 190 plays

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