Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-02 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

338

Total Found

204

Shown

204

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Joshua Baez	3/3	STL @ LAD		Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.67	Home Runs	0.5	+575	85.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.8%	51.9%	0	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/10 L
27	Ryan Jeffers	3/3	DET @ MIN	C	Drew Anderson RHB vs RHP ERA 3.73	Home Runs	0.5	+575	85.2	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	14.8%	51.9%	0	DET @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final/12 L
28	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ BOS	LF	Patrick Sandoval RHB vs LHP ERA 4.41	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	SEA @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final L
29	Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ LAA	RF	Reid Detmers LHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 3.44	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	NYY @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final/10 L
30	Brandon Lowe	3/3	SF @ PIT	2B	Landen Roupp LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.17	Home Runs	0.5	+450	81.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	SF @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final/10 L
31	Bryan Torres ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ LAD	LF	Yoshinobu Yamamoto LHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.67	Hits	1.5	+450	81.8	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/10 L
32	Francisco Lindor	3/3	NYM @ TB	SS	Griffin Jax S vs RHP ERA 3.82	Home Runs	0.5	+450	81.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	NYM @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
33	Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ PIT		Bubba Chandler LHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 4.30	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	81.8	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	1	SF @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final/10 L
34	Cody Bellinger ELITE	3/3	NYY @ LAA	LF	Reid Detmers LHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 3.44	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	3	NYY @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final/10 W
35	Trevor Story ELITE	3/3	SEA @ BOS	SS	Bryce Miller RHB vs RHP ERA 4.01	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	1	SEA @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final W
36	Michael Harris II	3/3	ATL @ WSH	CF	Brad Lord LHB vs RHP ERA 3.58	Home Runs	0.5	+425	81.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	19.0%	47.6%	0	ATL @ WSH 1:05 PM ET Final L
37	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	OAK @ TEX	RF	Jacob Lopez LHB vs LHP ERA 4.71	Runs Batted In	1.5	+400	80.0	5, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	0	ATH @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final L
38	Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ PIT		Bubba Chandler LHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 4.30	Home Runs	0.5	+400	80.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	1	SF @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final/10 W
39	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ HOU	SS	Hayden Wesneski LHB vs RHP ERA 3.18	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	0	CHW @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
40	Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CLE	PH	Dylan Cease S vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.25	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	0	TOR @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final L
41	Joey Ortiz	3/3	MIL @ CHC	3B	David Peterson RHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.39	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	1	MIL @ CHC 7:40 PM ET Final L
42	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ LAA	PH	Reid Detmers LHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 3.44	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	NYY @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final/10 L
43	Ryan Jeffers	3/3	DET @ MIN	C	Drew Anderson RHB vs RHP ERA 3.73	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	1	DET @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final/12 L
44	Edgar Quero ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ HOU		Hayden Wesneski S vs RHP ERA 3.18	Runs Batted In	0.5	+314	75.8	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	24.2%	42.5%	N/A	CHW @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final
45	Brandon Lowe	3/3	SF @ PIT	2B	Landen Roupp LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.17	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	4, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	SF @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final/10 L
46	Cody Freeman	3/3	OAK @ TEX	PH	Jacob Lopez RHB vs LHP ERA 4.71	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	ATH @ TEX 2:35 PM ET Final L
47	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ WSH		Grant Holmes S vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.62	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	ATL @ WSH 1:05 PM ET Final L
48	Liam Hicks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ TB	C	Justin Hagenman LHB vs RHP ERA 3.00	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	NYM @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
49	Oneil Cruz	3/3	SF @ PIT	CF	Landen Roupp LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.17	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	4, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	SF @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final/10 L
50	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	SEA @ BOS	RF	Bryce Miller LHB vs RHP ERA 4.01	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	3	SEA @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final W

Showing 26–50 of 204 plays

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