Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-03 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

225

Total Found

153

Shown

153

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Thomas Saggese ELITE	3/3	STL @ LAD	SS	Tarik Skubal RHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.86	Hits	1.5	+550	134.6	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	15.4%	84.6%	1	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
2	Rafael Devers ELITE	3/3	SF @ PIT		Lake Bachar LHB vs RHP ERA 3.59	Home Runs	0.5	+350	127.8	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	22.2%	77.8%	0	SF @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final L
3	Brendan Donovan ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	OAK @ SEA		Jack Perkins LHB vs RHP ERA 6.50	Hits	1.5	+280	123.7	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	26.3%	73.7%	N/A	ATH @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final
4	Javier Sanoja ELITE	3/3	MIA @ KC	SS	Michael Wacha RHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.36	Hits	1.5	+240	120.6	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	29.4%	70.6%	1	MIA @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
5	Turner Hill ELITE	3/3	SF @ PIT	PH	Lake Bachar LHB vs RHP ERA 3.59	Runs Batted In	0.5	+232	119.9	2, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	30.1%	69.9%	0	SF @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final L
6	Roman Anthony ELITE	3/3	BOS @ BAL	DH	Brandon Young LHB vs RHP ERA 3.42	Hits	1.5	+220	118.8	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	31.3%	68.8%	1	BOS @ BAL 7:15 PM ET Final L
7	Matt Shaw ELITE	3/3	MIL @ CHC	3B	Logan Henderson RHB vs RHP ERA 2.48	Hits	0.5	-115	96.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	53.5%	46.5%	0	MIL @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final L
8	Patrick Bailey ELITE	3/3	TOR @ CLE	C	José Soriano S vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.52	Hits	0.5	-120	95.5	2, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	54.5%	45.5%	0	TOR @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final L
9	Thomas Saggese	3/3	STL @ LAD	SS	Tarik Skubal RHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.86	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	90.9	3, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	0	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
10	Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CHC	C	Logan Henderson RHB vs RHP ERA 2.48	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	1, 2, 4	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	MIL @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final L
11	Josh Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CLE	3B	Tanner Bibee LHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 4.06	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	TOR @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final L
12	Thomas Saggese	3/3	STL @ LAD	SS	Tarik Skubal RHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.86	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
13	Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CHC	C	Logan Henderson RHB vs RHP ERA 2.48	Home Runs	0.5	+800	88.9	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	MIL @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final L
14	Dylan Beavers ELITE	3/3	BOS @ BAL		Jake Bennett LHB vs LHP ERA 3.34	Hits	0.5	-160	88.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	61.5%	38.5%	0	BOS @ BAL 7:15 PM ET Final L
15	Teoscar Hernandez ELITE	3/3	STL @ LAD	LF	Quinn Mathews RHB vs LHP ERA 4.38	Hits	0.5	-160	88.5	3, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	61.5%	38.5%	2	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
16	Turner Hill ELITE	3/3	SF @ PIT	PH	Lake Bachar LHB vs RHP ERA 3.59	Hits	0.5	-161	88.3	1, 4, 1	3/3 100.0%	61.7%	38.3%	0	SF @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final L
17	Angel Martinez	3/3	TOR @ CLE	PH	José Soriano S vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.52	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	TOR @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final L
18	Angel Martinez	3/3	TOR @ CLE	PH	José Soriano S vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.52	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	TOR @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final L
19	Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ KC	3B	Michael Wacha LHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.36	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	4, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	MIA @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
20	Randy Arozarena	3/3	OAK @ SEA	LF	Jack Perkins RHB vs RHP ERA 6.50	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	1, 3, 4	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	ATH @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
21	Alex Bregman	3/3	MIL @ CHC	DH	Logan Henderson RHB vs RHP ERA 2.48	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	4, 0, 4	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	MIL @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final L
22	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TB @ TEX	RF	Shane McClanahan LHB vs LHP ERA 3.36	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	0, 5, 2	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	TB @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
23	Tyrone Taylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CHC	PH	Logan Henderson RHB vs RHP ERA 2.48	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	1, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	N/A	MIL @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final
24	Mickey Gasper	3/3	BOS @ BAL		Brandon Young S vs RHP ERA 3.42	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	BOS @ BAL 7:15 PM ET Final L
25	Alex Bregman	3/3	MIL @ CHC	DH	Logan Henderson RHB vs RHP ERA 2.48	Home Runs	0.5	+525	84.0	1, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	16.0%	50.7%	0	MIL @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 153 plays

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