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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 4 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-04 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
367
Total Found
234
Shown
234
Actionable
13
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
26 Spencer Jones 3/3 NYY @ SD RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.56
Home Runs 0.5 +550 84.6 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
15.4% 51.3% 0
NYY @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
27 Thomas Saggese 3/3 STL @ COL SS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.91
Hits 1.5 +550 84.6 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
15.4% 51.3% 1
STL @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
28 Mookie Betts 3/3 WSH @ LAD SS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 5.55
Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 83.3 0, 2, 4
2/3
66.7%
16.7% 50.0% 1
WSH @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
29 Nelson Velazquez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 ARI @ HOU PH TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 82.6 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
17.4% 49.3% N/A
ARI @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
30 Roman Anthony 3/3 BOS @ BAL DH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.91
Home Runs 0.5 +475 82.6 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
17.4% 49.3% 0
BOS @ BAL
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
31 Bryan Torres
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 STL @ COL LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.91
Hits 1.5 +450 81.8 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
18.2% 48.5% 0
STL @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
32 J.P. Crawford 3/3 OAK @ SEA SS
LHB vs RHP
ERA 10.90
Hits 1.5 +450 81.8 1, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
18.2% 48.5% 1
ATH @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
33 Cody Bellinger ELITE 3/3 NYY @ SD LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.56
Hits 0.5 -220 81.3 3, 3, 2
3/3
100.0%
68.8% 31.3% 0
NYY @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
34 Michael Harris II 3/3 ATL @ PHI CF
LHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.58
Home Runs 0.5 +425 81.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
19.0% 47.6% 0
ATL @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
35 Jackson Holliday 3/3 BOS @ BAL
LHB vs LHP
Average 43%
ERA 3.44
Hits 1.5 +400 80.0 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
20.0% 46.7% 0
BOS @ BAL
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
36 Amed Rosario
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 NYY @ SD 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.56
Hits 1.5 +380 79.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
20.8% 45.8% N/A
NYY @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
37 Ivan Herrera 3/3 STL @ COL DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.91
Hits 1.5 +380 79.2 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
20.8% 45.8% 1
STL @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
38 Luke Keaschall 3/3 MIN @ CWS RF TBD Hits 1.5 +380 79.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
20.8% 45.8% 0
MIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
39 Carter Jensen 3/3 TOR @ KC C
LHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 5.65
Home Runs 0.5 +375 78.9 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
21.1% 45.6% 0
TOR @ KC
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
40 Chase Meidroth 3/3 MIN @ CWS 2B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.69
Hits 1.5 +360 78.3 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
21.7% 44.9% 0
MIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
41 Zack Gelof 3/3 OAK @ SEA
RHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.71
Hits 1.5 +360 78.3 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
21.7% 44.9% 2
ATH @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
W
42 Rafael Devers 3/3 SF @ NYM
LHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 3.06
Home Runs 0.5 +350 77.8 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
22.2% 44.4% 1
SF @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
43 Cooper Pratt
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ CIN SS
RHB vs RHP
Weak 13%
ERA 5.43
Hits 1.5 +340 77.3 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
22.7% 43.9% 1
MIL @ CIN
6:10 PM ET
Final
L
44 Jordan Walker 3/3 STL @ COL RF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.91
Hits 1.5 +340 77.3 2, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
22.7% 43.9% 1
STL @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
45 Justin Foscue 3/3 TB @ TEX PH
RHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 3.04
Runs Batted In 0.5 +337 77.1 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
22.9% 43.8% 0
TB @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
46 Adley Rutschman
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BOS @ BAL C
S vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.91
Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 2, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% 0
BOS @ BAL
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
47 Austin Riley 3/3 ATL @ PHI 3B
RHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.58
Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% 1
ATL @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
48 Cole Young 3/3 OAK @ SEA 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 10.90
Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% 1
ATH @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
49 Henry Bolte 3/3 OAK @ SEA
RHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.71
Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 2, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% 0
ATH @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
50 Ryan Jeffers 3/3 MIN @ CWS C TBD Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% 0
MIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 26–50 of 234 plays