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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 4 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-04 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
367
Total Found
234
Shown
234
Actionable
13
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
101 Carson Kelly
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CHC @ MIA C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 24%
ERA 4.00
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 40.0 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
 10.0% 23.3% 0
CHC @ MIA
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
102 Esmerlyn Valdez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 LAA @ PIT
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.17
 Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 60.0% 6.7% N/A
LAA @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
103 Jared Young 3/3 SF @ NYM
LHB vs LHP
ERA 6.14
 Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 60.8% 5.9% 0
SF @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
104 Angel Genao 3/3 DET @ CLE 2B
S vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.52
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
 11.1% 22.2% 0
DET @ CLE
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
105 Angel Genao 3/3 DET @ CLE 2B
S vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.52
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
 11.1% 22.2% 0
DET @ CLE
7:45 PM ET
Final/10
L
106 Brooks Lee 3/3 MIN @ CWS 3B TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
 11.1% 22.2% 0
MIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
107 Joshua Baez 3/3 STL @ COL
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.91
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
 11.1% 22.2% 0
STL @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
108 Kody Clemens 3/3 MIN @ CWS 2B TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
 11.1% 22.2% 0
MIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
109 Nathan Lukes 3/3 TOR @ KC RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.51
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
 11.1% 22.2% 0
TOR @ KC
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
110 Paul Goldschmidt 3/3 NYY @ SD PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.56
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
 11.1% 22.2% 0
NYY @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
111 Sean Murphy
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ATL @ PHI C
RHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.58
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 4, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
 11.1% 22.2% 0
ATL @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
112 TJ Rumfield 3/3 STL @ COL 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 38%
ERA 3.51
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
 11.1% 22.2% 1
STL @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
113 Dylan Beavers
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 BOS @ BAL
LHB vs LHP
Average 43%
ERA 3.44
 Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 61.5% 5.1% N/A
BOS @ BAL
7:05 PM ET
Final
114 Turner Hill 3/3 SF @ NYM PH
LHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 3.06
 Hits 0.5 -161 38.3 0, 1, 4
2/3
66.7%
 61.7% 5.0% 2
SF @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
115 Tommy Troy
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 ARI @ HOU
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.98
 Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 62.3% 4.4% N/A
ARI @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
116 Brady House
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 WSH @ LAD
RHB vs LHP
ERA 1.97
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
 12.5% 20.8% 0
WSH @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
117 Brendan Donovan
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 OAK @ SEA
LHB vs RHP
ERA 10.90
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
 12.5% 20.8% N/A
ATH @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
118 Cooper Pratt
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIL @ CIN SS
RHB vs RHP
Weak 13%
ERA 5.43
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
 12.5% 20.8% 4
MIL @ CIN
6:10 PM ET
Final
W
119 Corey Seager 3/3 TB @ TEX SS
LHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 3.04
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
 12.5% 20.8% 0
TB @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
120 Randy Arozarena 3/3 OAK @ SEA LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 10.90
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
 12.5% 20.8% 0
ATH @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
121 Spencer Horwitz 3/3 LAA @ PIT 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.17
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
 12.5% 20.8% 0
LAA @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
122 Julio Rodriguez 3/3 OAK @ SEA CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 10.90
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +650 36.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
 13.3% 20.0% 1
ATH @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
123 Edmundo Sosa
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ATL @ PHI 3B
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.10
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 0, 1, 4
1/3
33.3%
 14.3% 19.0% 0
ATL @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
124 Fernando Tatis Jr. 3/3 NYY @ SD RF
RHB vs LHP
Good 80%
ERA 2.73
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
 14.3% 19.0% 0
NYY @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
125 Spencer Jones 3/3 NYY @ SD RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.56
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
 14.3% 19.0% 1
NYY @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
Showing 101–125 of 234 plays
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