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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 6 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-06 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
321
Total Found
187
Shown
187
Actionable
16
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
126 Victor Mesa Jr. 3/3 TB @ TEX
LHB vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 4.62
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% 2
TB @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
W
127 Chase Meidroth 3/3 MIN @ CWS 2B
RHB vs RHP
Average 69%
ERA 4.28
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% 0
MIN @ CHW
6:20 PM ET
Final
L
128 Eduardo Valencia
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 DET @ CLE C
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.78
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% N/A
DET @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final/10
129 Liam Hicks 3/3 TB @ TEX C
LHB vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 4.62
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% 0
TB @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
L
130 Aaron Judge
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYY @ SD
RHB vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.03
Runs Batted In 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% N/A
NYY @ SD
4:10 PM ET
Final
131 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3/3 BOS @ BAL
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.15
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
BOS @ BAL
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
132 Christian Walker 3/3 ARI @ HOU 1B TBD Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
ARI @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
133 Griffin Conine 3/3 CHC @ MIA RF
LHB vs RHP
Good 72%
ERA 2.85
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
CHC @ MIA
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
134 Spencer Jones 3/3 NYY @ SD RF
LHB vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.03
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
NYY @ SD
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
135 Xander Bogaerts 3/3 NYY @ SD SS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.67
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
NYY @ SD
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
136 Amed Rosario
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 NYY @ SD 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.03
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
NYY @ SD
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
137 Cole Young 3/3 OAK @ SEA 2B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.47
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
ATH @ SEA
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
138 Cooper Pratt 3/3 MIL @ CIN SS
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 5.38
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
MIL @ CIN
12:10 PM ET
Final
L
139 Corey Seager 3/3 TB @ TEX SS
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.27
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
TB @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
L
140 Hunter Goodman 3/3 STL @ COL C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.33
Runs Batted In 1.5 +320 26.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
STL @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
L
141 Ian Happ
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CHC @ MIA LF
S vs RHP
ERA 3.55
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% N/A
CHC @ MIA
1:40 PM ET
Final
142 Kaelen Culpepper 3/3 MIN @ CWS SS TBD Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
MIN @ CHW
6:20 PM ET
Final
L
143 Lars Nootbaar 3/3 ARI @ HOU LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.71
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
ARI @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
144 Ronny Simon
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAA @ PIT RF
S vs RHP
ERA 2.88
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% N/A
LAA @ PIT
1:35 PM ET
Final
145 Trevor Story 3/3 BOS @ BAL SS
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.12
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 3, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
BOS @ BAL
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
146 Giancarlo Stanton
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYY @ SD PH
RHB vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.03
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
NYY @ SD
4:10 PM ET
Final
147 Isaac Paredes 3/3 ARI @ HOU DH TBD Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
ARI @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
148 Jared Young 3/3 SF @ NYM
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.68
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
SF @ NYM
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
149 Jonah Cox 3/3 SF @ NYM 2B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.81
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
SF @ NYM
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
150 Myles Straw 3/3 TOR @ KC CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.73
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
TOR @ KC
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 126–150 of 187 plays