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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 6 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-06 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
321
Total Found
187
Shown
187
Actionable
16
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
176 Alex Bregman 3/3 CHC @ MIA DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.55
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 0
CHC @ MIA
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
177 Connor Norby 3/3 STL @ COL DH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.33
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 0
STL @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
L
178 Gabriel Moreno 3/3 ARI @ HOU DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.71
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 1
ARI @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
179 Maikel Garcia
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TOR @ KC 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.99
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% N/A
TOR @ KC
2:10 PM ET
Final
180 Paul Goldschmidt 3/3 NYY @ SD PH
RHB vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.03
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 0
NYY @ SD
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
181 Sal Stewart 3/3 MIL @ CIN 1B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.98
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 1
MIL @ CIN
12:10 PM ET
Final
L
182 Thomas Saggese 3/3 STL @ COL SS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.55
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 2
STL @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
W
183 Andrew Vaughn
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ CIN PH
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 5.38
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 0
MIL @ CIN
12:10 PM ET
Final
L
184 Ceddanne Rafaela
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ BAL CF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.12
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% N/A
BOS @ BAL
1:35 PM ET
Final
185 Francisco Lindor 3/3 SF @ NYM SS
S vs LHP
ERA 3.68
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 0
SF @ NYM
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
186 Steven Kwan 3/3 DET @ CLE LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.45
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 2
DET @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
187 Brett Bateman 3/3 TOR @ KC RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.73
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 3
TOR @ KC
2:10 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 176–187 of 187 plays
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