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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 12 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-12 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
304
Total Found
228
Shown
228
Actionable
51
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
226 Ceddanne Rafaela
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 KC @ BOS CF TBD Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% N/A
KC @ BOS
4:10 PM ET
Final
227 Ben Rice
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 NYM @ NYY DH TBD Hits 1.5 +209 17.6 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
32.4% 1.0% N/A
NYM @ NYY
1:35 PM ET
Final
228 Gabriel Moreno 3/3 TEX @ ARI DH TBD Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 2
TEX @ ARI
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 226–228 of 228 plays
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