Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-18 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

291

Total Found

187

Shown

187

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Turner Hill ELITE	3/3	SF @ LAD	PH	Tyler Glasnow LHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 3.51	Hits	0.5	+320	126.2	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	23.8%	76.2%	0	SF @ LAD 10:15 PM ET Final L
2	Jackson Merrill ELITE	3/3	MIA @ SD	CF	Tyler Phillips LHB vs RHP ERA 3.45	Hits	0.5	+275	123.3	1, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	26.7%	73.3%	1	MIA @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final W
3	Jeremy Pena ELITE	3/3	ATL @ HOU	SS	Tyler Mahle RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 3.81	Hits	1.5	+230	119.7	2, 3, 3	3/3 100.0%	30.3%	69.7%	0	ATL @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
4	Chandler Simpson ELITE	3/3	BOS @ TB	LF	Ranger Suarez LHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.27	Hits	1.5	+200	116.7	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	33.3%	66.7%	0	BOS @ TB 7:10 PM ET Final L
5	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	NYY @ ARI	DH	Gerrit Cole RHB vs RHP ERA 3.63	Home Runs	0.5	+2000	95.2	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	4.8%	61.9%	0	NYY @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
6	Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ SD	DH	Nick Pivetta LHB vs RHP Weak 12% ERA 3.30	Home Runs	0.5	+2000	95.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	4.8%	61.9%	0	MIA @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
7	Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ ARI	C	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+1400	93.3	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	6.7%	60.0%	0	NYY @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
8	Spencer Torkelson ELITE	3/3	DET @ CWS	1B	TBD	Hits	0.5	-141	91.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	58.5%	41.5%	2	DET @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final W
9	Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ SD	DH	Nick Pivetta LHB vs RHP Weak 12% ERA 3.30	Runs Batted In	0.5	+900	90.0	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	MIA @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
10	Justin Crawford ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM	CF	Zac Thornton LHB vs LHP ERA 3.40	Hits	0.5	-157	88.9	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	61.1%	38.9%	N/A	PHI @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final
11	Kody Clemens ELITE	3/3	MIN @ LAA	2B	Grayson Rodriguez LHB vs RHP ERA 5.96	Hits	0.5	-160	88.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	61.5%	38.5%	0	MIN @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
12	Jeremy Pena	3/3	ATL @ HOU	SS	Tyler Mahle RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 3.81	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	ATL @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
13	Daylen Lile ELITE	3/3	WSH @ STL		Kyle Leahy LHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 3.65	Hits	0.5	-172	86.8	2, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	63.2%	36.8%	0	WSH @ STL 8:15 PM ET Final L
14	Thomas Saggese ELITE	3/3	WSH @ STL	SS	Cade Cavalli RHB vs RHP Average 53% ERA 3.02	Hits	0.5	-175	86.4	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	63.6%	36.4%	0	WSH @ STL 8:15 PM ET Final L
15	Joey Ortiz ELITE	3/3	MIL @ BAL	3B	Cade Povich RHB vs LHP ERA 4.38	Hits	0.5	-180	85.7	1, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	64.3%	35.7%	1	MIL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final/10 W
16	Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	MIL @ BAL		Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.61	Home Runs	0.5	+600	85.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	MIL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final/10 L
17	Jhonny Pereda ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SEA @ COL	C	Gabriel Hughes RHB vs RHP ERA 6.33	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	N/A	SEA @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final
18	Eduardo Valencia ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	DET @ CWS	C	TBD	Hits	0.5	-182	85.5	1, 3, 1	3/3 100.0%	64.5%	35.5%	2	DET @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final W
19	Brandon Lowe	3/3	KC @ PIT	2B	Randy Dobnak LHB vs RHP ERA 3.08	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	1	KC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final W
20	Jeremy Pena	3/3	ATL @ HOU	SS	Tyler Mahle RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 3.81	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	ATL @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
21	Pete Crow-Armstrong	3/3	CHC @ CIN	CF	Chase Burns LHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.86	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	83.3	3, 0, 4	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	CHC @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
22	Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ CIN	C	Chase Burns RHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.86	Runs Batted In	0.5	+487	83.0	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	17.0%	49.6%	N/A	CHC @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final
23	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3/3	MIL @ BAL		Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.61	Home Runs	0.5	+450	81.8	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	MIL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final/10 L
24	Jo Adell	3/3	OAK @ CLE	DH	Mason Barnett RHB vs RHP ERA 7.16	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	81.8	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	ATH @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final L
25	Anthony Volpe	3/3	NYY @ ARI	2B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	0	NYY @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 187 plays

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