Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-18 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

291

Total Found

187

Shown

187

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ SD	DH	Nick Pivetta LHB vs RHP Weak 12% ERA 3.30	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	2, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	1	MIA @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
27	Juan Brito ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ CIN	3B	Clay Holmes S vs RHP Good 72% ERA 3.25	Runs Batted In	0.5	+393	79.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	20.3%	46.4%	N/A	CHC @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final
28	Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ ARI		Gerrit Cole RHB vs RHP ERA 3.63	Hits	0.5	-238	79.6	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	70.4%	29.6%	N/A	NYY @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final
29	CJ Abrams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ STL		Kyle Leahy LHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 3.65	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	1	WSH @ STL 8:15 PM ET Final L
30	Griffin Conine	3/3	MIA @ SD	RF	Nick Pivetta LHB vs RHP Weak 12% ERA 3.30	Hits	0.5	+375	78.9	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	21.1%	45.6%	0	MIA @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
31	Jake Cronenworth	3/3	MIA @ SD	2B	Tyler Phillips LHB vs RHP ERA 3.45	Hits	1.5	+375	78.9	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	21.1%	45.6%	2	MIA @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final W
32	Pete Crow-Armstrong	3/3	CHC @ CIN	CF	Chase Burns LHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.86	Home Runs	0.5	+375	78.9	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	21.1%	45.6%	0	CHC @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
33	Xavier Edwards ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ SD		Nick Pivetta S vs RHP Weak 12% ERA 3.30	Hits	0.5	+375	78.9	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	21.1%	45.6%	1	MIA @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final W
34	Brenton Doyle	3/3	DET @ CWS	CF	Andrew Sears RHB vs LHP ERA 5.19	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	1	DET @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final L
35	Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ COL	DH	Gabriel Hughes S vs RHP ERA 6.33	Runs Batted In	1.5	+360	78.3	3, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	0	SEA @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final L
36	Moises Ballesteros	3/3	MIN @ LAA	C	Connor Prielipp LHB vs LHP ERA 4.94	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	0	MIN @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
37	A.J. Ewing	3/3	PHI @ NYM	CF	Tim Mayza LHB vs LHP ERA 3.46	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	1	PHI @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
38	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3/3	MIL @ BAL		Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.61	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	3, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	0	MIL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final/10 L
39	Wade Meckler	3/3	MIN @ LAA	LF	Connor Prielipp LHB vs LHP ERA 4.94	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	1	MIN @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
40	Christian Koss	3/3	SF @ LAD	SS	Tyler Glasnow RHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 3.51	Hits	0.5	+300	75.0	1, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	SF @ LAD 10:15 PM ET Final L
41	Denzer Guzman	3/3	MIN @ LAA	3B	Connor Prielipp RHB vs LHP ERA 4.94	Hits	0.5	+300	75.0	1, 4, 0	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	MIN @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
42	Pete Alonso	3/3	MIL @ BAL		Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.61	Home Runs	0.5	+300	75.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	MIL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final/10 W
43	Sal Stewart	3/3	CHC @ CIN	1B	Clay Holmes RHB vs RHP Good 72% ERA 3.25	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	CHC @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
44	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	ATL @ HOU	LF	Tyler Mahle LHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 3.81	Home Runs	0.5	+275	73.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	26.7%	40.0%	0	ATL @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
45	Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ TEX	C	Kumar Rocker RHB vs RHP ERA 4.47	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	TOR @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
46	Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ LAA	RF	Grayson Rodriguez RHB vs RHP ERA 5.96	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	1, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	MIN @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
47	Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ HOU	SS	Peter Lambert RHB vs RHP ERA 3.70	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	2	ATL @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final W
48	Eli White ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BOS @ TB		Ian Seymour RHB vs LHP ERA 4.38	Runs Batted In	0.5	+258	72.1	0, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	27.9%	38.7%	N/A	BOS @ TB 7:10 PM ET Final
49	Joc Pederson ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ TEX		Dylan Cease LHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.40	Runs Batted In	0.5	+252	71.6	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	28.4%	38.3%	N/A	TOR @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final
50	Christopher Morel ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ NYM		Tim Mayza RHB vs LHP ERA 3.46	Runs Batted In	0.5	+250	71.4	0, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	28.6%	38.1%	N/A	PHI @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final

Showing 26–50 of 187 plays

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